Challenged global economics amid conflict in warring countries

Ana Tsutsunashvili , Alba Yela Aránega , Raúl Castaño Urueña
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Abstract

This research delves into the multifaceted challenges posed to society and regional development in the wake of Russia's invasion of Ukraine, with a specific focus on the period spanning from February 2022 to February 2023 as a response to the social and entrepreneurial threats that have appeared due to the conflict. In addition, this research seeks not only to alleviate prevailing uncertainties but also to facilitate a comprehensive understanding of the economic landscape by identifying causal factors and providing a relevant contextual framework for the threats to society and regional development in the aftermath of Russia's invasion of Ukraine, which affects sustainability both economically and socially. These disruptions have given rise to unprecedented uncertainties that could potentially trigger an irreversible cascade of shortages, leading to escalating costs of critical or irreplaceable products that directly affect regional development. This paper scrutinizes this intricate process, aiming to discern underlying patterns and mitigate the prevailing uncertainty—a state that challenges rational decision-making. In this pursuit, established economic theories are deployed to provide comprehensive insights into the evolving reality. Through an in-depth analysis of the interplay between the Covid-19 pandemic, the ensuing economic crisis, and the ramifications of the Ukraine-Russia conflict, this research reveals a stark decline in economic growth. In addition, the present study explores potential solutions, emphasizing the importance of enhancing workforce skills through meticulously designed educational strategies and promoting gender diversity in science, technology, engineering and mathematics (STEM) programs.

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交战国冲突中的全球经济面临挑战
本研究深入探讨了俄罗斯入侵乌克兰后给社会和地区发展带来的多方面挑战,特别关注 2022 年 2 月至 2023 年 2 月这一时期,以应对冲突带来的社会和企业威胁。此外,本研究不仅寻求缓解普遍存在的不确定性,还希望通过确定俄罗斯入侵乌克兰后对社会和地区发展造成威胁的因果因素并提供相关背景框架,促进对经济格局的全面了解,这对经济和社会的可持续性都有影响。这些干扰引发了前所未有的不确定性,有可能引发一连串不可逆转的短缺,导致直接影响地区发展的关键或不可替代产品的成本上升。本文仔细研究了这一错综复杂的过程,旨在找出潜在的模式,缓解普遍存在的不确定性--一种挑战理性决策的状态。在这一过程中,本文运用了既有的经济理论,对不断变化的现实提出了全面的见解。通过对 Covid-19 大流行病、随之而来的经济危机和乌克兰-俄罗斯冲突的影响之间的相互作用进行深入分析,本研究揭示了经济增长的急剧下降。此外,本研究还探讨了潜在的解决方案,强调了通过精心设计的教育战略提高劳动力技能以及在科学、技术、工程和数学(STEM)课程中促进性别多样性的重要性。
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