Predictors of early and long-term readmissions and their association with survival after liver transplantation

N Simonian , M Brahmania , M Bhat , A Kim , HLA Janssen , BE Hansen , K Patel
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Abstract

Background

The impact of post liver transplantation (LT) readmissions on mortality has not been well described. Thus, the primary objective of our study was to determine predictors of readmissions post-LT and assess impact on survival.

Methods

Single center retrospective observational study investigating adult patients who underwent LT between January 1, 2010 – December 31, 2019 at Toronto General Hospital (TGH). Time-dependent cox regression model was used to investigate risk factors for 30-day, 30–90-day, and >90-day readmissions to hospital. The effect of readmission on survival was assessed with the Kaplan–Meier estimator.

Results

987 patients fulfilled inclusion criteria. Significant predictors of 30-day readmissions were BMI > 30 kg/m2 (HR=0.64; CI 0.42–0.98; p-value 0.04) and autoimmune/cholestatic liver disease (HR=1.86; CI 1.01–3.42; p = 0.046) at 30-days. Post-LT length of stay (HR=1.05; CI 1.02–1.08; p<0.001) at 30–90 days. Meanwhile, living donor LT (HR=1.41; CI 1.06–1.89; p = 0.02) and distance from LT center (HR=1.05; CI 1.01–1.09; p = 0.011) after 90 days. Infection was the main reason for readmission across three time periods. An inpatient readmission across any time period was found to be significantly associated with mortality (HR=2.4; 1.6–3.6; p<0.0001).

Conclusion

Hospital readmissions post-LT are associated with increased mortality. Although infection is a common risk factor for readmission other modifiable risk factors may be an area for target of interventions to reduce post-LT readmission.

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肝移植术后早期和长期再入院的预测因素及其与存活率的关系
背景肝移植(LT)术后再入院对死亡率的影响尚未得到很好的描述。因此,我们研究的主要目的是确定肝移植术后再入院的预测因素,并评估其对生存率的影响。方法对2010年1月1日至2019年12月31日期间在多伦多总医院(TGH)接受肝移植的成年患者进行单中心回顾性观察研究。采用时间依赖性考克斯回归模型研究30天、30-90天和90天再入院的风险因素。结果 有987名患者符合纳入标准。30天再入院的重要预测因素是30公斤/平方米体重指数(HR=0.64;CI 0.42-0.98;P值0.04)和30天时自身免疫/胆汁淤积性肝病(HR=1.86;CI 1.01-3.42;P=0.046)。LT后住院时间(HR=1.05;CI 1.02-1.08;p<0.001)为30-90天。同时,90天后活体捐献LT(HR=1.41;CI 1.06-1.89;p=0.02)和LT中心距离(HR=1.05;CI 1.01-1.09;p=0.011)。感染是三个时间段内再次入院的主要原因。任何时间段的住院再入院均与死亡率显著相关(HR=2.4; 1.6-3.6; p<0.0001)。尽管感染是导致再入院的常见风险因素,但其他可改变的风险因素可能是减少 LT 后再入院的干预目标。
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