Do political and social globalization promote female labour in Bangladesh? An empirical reassessment

Humaira Husain , Mohammad Ashraful Ferdous Chowdhury , Zunaidah Sulong
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Abstract

This study unfolds inverted -U nexus between female labour and political globalization through the lens of autoregressive distributed lag bounds test approach based on annual data from 1984 -2019 in Bangladesh. Political globalization initially fosters female workforce and after attaining a maximum threshold level, this slowly declines. This reinforces the evidence that, initially female absorption in labour market ascends via creation of employment opportunities in service sector for educated female labour and in industrial sector for the less educated. Consequently, the demand for female labour reduces significantly as the country becomes reliant more on import- based automated industries. This non- linear quadratic inverted U relation holds in short run and in the long run. This study also divulges that social globalization has negative and significant impact on female labour in the short- run, possibly corroborating persistent gender inequality in ICT for uneducated female labour. This research disentangles that interactive term of political and social globalization has positive and significant impact on female labour in the short- run. This positive effect is strongly significant in long run as well, supporting the fact that political globalization has the moderating role to subside gender disparity in the ICT sector for educated women. This research obtains conclusive evidence for stable long run inverted U relation between female labour and political globalization. This co-integrating relation holds under presumption of endogenous structural break. Findings of this study are important for formulating right policies to promote female labour in Bangladesh.

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政治和社会全球化是否促进了孟加拉国女性劳动力的发展?经验再评估
本研究以孟加拉国 1984-2019 年的年度数据为基础,通过自回归分布式滞后边界检验方法,揭示了女性劳动力与政治全球化之间的倒 "U "型关系。政治全球化最初促进了女性劳动力的发展,在达到最大临界水平后,女性劳动力的发展速度缓慢下降。这进一步证明,最初女性在劳动力市场中的吸收是通过在服务业为受过教育的女性劳动力和在工业部门为受教育程度较低的女性劳动力创造就业机会来提高的。因此,随着国家越来越依赖于以进口为基础的自动化工业,对女性劳动力的需求大幅减少。这种非线性的二次倒 U 型关系在短期和长期都成立。本研究还揭示了社会全球化在短期内对女性劳动力产生的显著负面影响,这可能证实了信息和通信技术领域对未受过教育的女性劳动力持续存在的性别不平等。本研究发现,政治全球化和社会全球化的交互项在短期内对女性劳动力有积极而显著的影响。从长期来看,这种积极影响也非常明显,从而证明了政治全球化在信息和通信技术领域对受过教育的女性性别差异具有调节作用。本研究获得了女性劳动力与政治全球化之间稳定的长期倒 U 型关系的确凿证据。这种协整关系在内生结构断裂的假设下成立。本研究的结果对于制定正确的政策以促进孟加拉国女性劳动力的发展具有重要意义。
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