Fiscal federalism and foreign direct investment – An empirical analysis

Lars P. Feld, Ekkehard A. Köhler, Leonardo Palhuca, Christoph A. Schaltegger
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Abstract

Previous empirical studies suggest that fiscal decentralisation, measured by the number of government layers, is associated with less foreign direct investment (FDI). With an improved dataset on the tax autonomy of sub-federal government tiers, we present evidence that fiscal decentralisation (de facto) does not reduce FDI. If local governments can set their tax rates and bases autonomously, they attract more FDI. Analysing 128,425 corporate cross-border acquisitions (CBA), between 194 source and 215 host jurisdictions from 1997 to 2021, we find that full taxation autonomy by subnational governments can double the number of CBAs in a given year. These results apply to high-income hosts and do not depend on specific periods.
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财政联邦制与外国直接投资--实证分析
以往的实证研究表明,以政府层级数量衡量的财政分权与外国直接投资(FDI)减少有关。通过改进联邦以下各级政府税收自主权的数据集,我们提出了财政分权(事实上)不会减少外国直接投资的证据。如果地方政府可以自主确定税率和税基,它们就会吸引更多的外国直接投资。通过分析 1997 年至 2021 年期间 194 个来源地和 215 个东道国之间的 128,425 次企业跨境收购(CBA),我们发现,国家以下各级政府完全自主征税可使特定年份的 CBA 数量翻番。这些结果适用于高收入东道国,且不取决于特定时期。
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