Exploring The Impact Of Per Capita Income And Population Size On VAT Revenue In APEC Member Countries

Muhammad Hafiz Fadhilah, Suparna Wijaya
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Abstract

This research aims to evaluate how per capita income and population size impact Value Added Tax (VAT) revenue, considering corruption control variables as moderating factors. VAT revenue is the dependent variable in this study, while per capita income and population size are the independent variables. The influence of corruption control variables is also explored as interacting with the independent variables in affecting VAT revenue. The data used is sourced from World Bank Data, covering the period from 2008 to 2020. The analytical method employed is panel data regression using the panel-corrected standard error (PCSE) model. The research results indicate that per capita income has a negative influence on VAT revenue, meaning that as a country's per capita income increases, VAT revenue tends to decrease. Meanwhile, population size has a positive impact on VAT revenue, indicating that as a country's population size grows, VAT revenue tends to increase. Furthermore, it is found that the influence of corruption control variables interacts with per capita income. This interaction strengthens its impact on VAT revenue. However, when corruption control variables interact with population size, their influence on VAT revenue becomes weaker.
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探讨亚太经合组织成员国人均收入和人口规模对增值税收入的影响
本研究旨在评估人均收入和人口规模如何影响增值税(VAT)收入,并将腐败控制变量视为调节因素。增值税收入是本研究的因变量,人均收入和人口规模是自变量。本研究还探讨了腐败控制变量与自变量相互作用对增值税收入的影响。所使用的数据来源于世界银行数据,时间跨度为 2008 年至 2020 年。采用的分析方法是使用面板校正标准误差(PCSE)模型进行面板数据回归。研究结果表明,人均收入对增值税收入有负面影响,即随着一国人均收入的增加,增值税收入趋于减少。同时,人口数量对增值税收入有正向影响,表明随着一国人口数量的增加,增值税收入趋于增加。此外,研究还发现,腐败控制变量的影响与人均收入相互影响。这种交互作用加强了对增值税收入的影响。然而,当腐败控制变量与人口规模相互作用时,其对增值税收入的影响就会减弱。
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