Pemodelan Pertumbuhan Penduduk Kota Kupang dengan Geogebra

A. Fernandez, A. H. Kaluge, Meryani Lakapu
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Abstract

This research aims to project the population of Kupang City in 2030. Data on the population of Kupang City was obtained from Badan Pusat Statistik of Kupang City. The data was used in 12 year time intervals. The process of projecting the population of Kupang City was carried out with the help of Geogebra Software. The projection of the population of Kupang City is modeled using a Linear Model, Exponential Model, Geometry Model and Logarithmic Model. The logarithmic model has the smallest error so it can be said that the logarithmic model is better than other models, in relation to projecting the population of Kupang City. The results obtained for the population of Kupang City in 2030, respectively for the Geometry Model, Logarithmic Model, Exponential Model and Linear Model are 519106.81, 535169.03, 557736.47, 535564.58. These results can be the basis for the government or parties regarding future policies.
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用 Geogebra 建立古邦市人口增长模型
本研究旨在预测 2030 年古邦市的人口数量。古邦市的人口数据来自古邦市统计局(Badan Pusat Statistik)。数据以 12 年为时间间隔。在 Geogebra 软件的帮助下对古邦市的人口进行了预测。古邦市人口预测模型包括线性模型、指数模型、几何模型和对数模型。对数模型的误差最小,因此可以说对数模型在预测古邦市人口方面优于其他模型。几何模型、对数模型、指数模型和线性模型对 2030 年古邦市人口的预测结果分别为 519106.81、535169.03、557736.47、535564.58。这些结果可以作为政府或有关方面制定未来政策的依据。
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审稿时长
12 weeks
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