Analysis of wind power curve modeling using multi-model regression

IF 1.5 Q4 ENERGY & FUELS Wind Engineering Pub Date : 2023-12-22 DOI:10.1177/0309524x231214141
Vivek Kumar Patidar, Rajesh Wadhvani, Muktesh Gupta
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Abstract

Wind power prediction is vital in renewable energy. Correct forecasts enable utility companies to optimize production and minimize costs. However, due to the intricate nature of wind patterns, making precise predictions is challenging. This article introduces a novel model combining Quantile Regression and Decision Tree Regression for forecasting wind energy. Trained on historical wind speed and output data, the model’s efficacy is assessed using metrics like mean absolute error and root mean squared error. The model is evaluated using the SCADA Turkey dataset, a prominent benchmark in wind forecasting. Preliminary results demonstrate the combined model’s superior predictive accuracy over traditional regression models, highlighting its potential for enhanced wind energy forecasting.
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利用多模型回归分析风能曲线建模
风能预测对可再生能源至关重要。正确的预测可以帮助公用事业公司优化生产、降低成本。然而,由于风力模式错综复杂,进行精确预测具有挑战性。本文介绍了一种结合了定量回归和决策树回归的新型风能预测模型。通过对历史风速和输出数据进行训练,使用平均绝对误差和均方根误差等指标对模型的功效进行评估。该模型使用 SCADA 土耳其数据集进行评估,该数据集是风能预测的一个重要基准。初步结果表明,该组合模型的预测准确性优于传统回归模型,凸显了其在增强风能预测方面的潜力。
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来源期刊
Wind Engineering
Wind Engineering ENERGY & FUELS-
CiteScore
4.00
自引率
13.30%
发文量
81
期刊介绍: Having been in continuous publication since 1977, Wind Engineering is the oldest and most authoritative English language journal devoted entirely to the technology of wind energy. Under the direction of a distinguished editor and editorial board, Wind Engineering appears bimonthly with fully refereed contributions from active figures in the field, book notices, and summaries of the more interesting papers from other sources. Papers are published in Wind Engineering on: the aerodynamics of rotors and blades; machine subsystems and components; design; test programmes; power generation and transmission; measuring and recording techniques; installations and applications; and economic, environmental and legal aspects.
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