The reflexive relationship between financial and social exclusion for the selected Central-Eastern European countries

Byambasuren Dorjnyambuu
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Abstract

This study primarily examines how the risk factors that lead individuals to social exclusion, disadvantage, and deprivation contribute to financial exclusion and vice versa. This causal relationship for financial and social exclusion is formulated using the simultaneous equations model. Along with the causal relationship, this study identifies the leading personal and environmental determinants for both the probabilities of being unbanked and socially excluded. I use demographic, socioeconomic, and geographic information from the Life in Transition Survey III, conducted in 2016. The study found a reflexive causal relationship between financial and social exclusion in the selected Central-Eastern European countries. Namely, people at risk of social exclusion are more likely to be excluded from access to financial services. On the other hand, those at risk of financial exclusion are more likely to be socially excluded.
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选定的中东欧国家金融排斥与社会排斥之间的反身关系
本研究主要探讨导致个人受到社会排斥、处于不利地位和贫困的风险因素是如何导致经济排斥的,反之亦然。经济排斥和社会排斥之间的因果关系是通过同步方程模型建立的。在确定因果关系的同时,本研究还确定了导致无银行账户和社会排斥的主要个人和环境决定因素。我使用了 2016 年进行的 "过渡期生活调查 III "中的人口、社会经济和地理信息。研究发现,在选定的中东欧国家,金融排斥和社会排斥之间存在反身因果关系。也就是说,面临社会排斥风险的人更有可能无法获得金融服务。另一方面,面临金融排斥风险的人更有可能受到社会排斥。
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