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Money as a social technology 货币作为一种社会技术
Pub Date : 2024-03-28 DOI: 10.35551/pfq_2024_1_7
Szabolcs Grébel
Peet van Biljon and Alexandra Reed Lajoux’s Money Creation: the past and present of society’s most important technology will be published in English in 2020, and its Hungarian translation was published by Pallas Athéné Könyvkiadó, also in 2020.
Peet van Biljon 和 Alexandra Reed Lajoux 的《货币创造:社会最重要技术的过去与现在》将于 2020 年出版英文版,其匈牙利语译本也将于 2020 年由 Pallas Athéné Könyvkiadó 出版。
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引用次数: 0
Changes in the explanation of inflation 通货膨胀解释的变化
Pub Date : 2024-03-28 DOI: 10.35551/pfq_2024_1_6
István Ábel, Gergely Bognár, Máté Lóga, István Attila Szabó
Most discussion of inflation in 2021-2022 have focused on product market shocks rather than unemployment indicators. The Phillips curve approach, which provides the traditional theoretical framework, was questioned. In addition to the surge in food and energy prices, many new inflationary factors have come to the fore, such as the disruption in supply chains, as well as fiscal spending and loose monetary policy in the context of the pandemic. These factors do not fit into the traditional approach. In this paper, we review the main literature on the US and European economies to see how the analytical framework represented by the Phillips curve can be adapted to analyse the current situation. Since its inception, the Phillips curve approach has undergone significant changes reflecting changes in the nature of inflation. For example, the unemployment gap was later replaced by the output gap. In the current situation, the output gap has been replaced by arguments in favour of the inclusion of enterprise pricing, marginal cost and the profit rate.
关于 2021-2022 年通货膨胀的讨论大多集中于产品市场冲击而非失业指标。提供传统理论框架的菲利普斯曲线方法受到质疑。除了食品和能源价格飙升,许多新的通胀因素也凸显出来,如供应链中断,以及大流行病背景下的财政支出和宽松货币政策。这些因素都不符合传统的方法。在本文中,我们回顾了有关美国和欧洲经济的主要文献,以了解如何调整以菲利普斯曲线为代表的分析框架来分析当前形势。自诞生以来,菲利普斯曲线方法经历了重大变化,反映了通货膨胀性质的变化。例如,失业缺口后来被产出缺口所取代。在当前情况下,产出缺口已被赞成纳入企业定价、边际成本和利润率的论点所取代。
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引用次数: 0
The impact of tax revenue on Azerbaijan’s economic growth 税收对阿塞拜疆经济增长的影响
Pub Date : 2024-03-28 DOI: 10.35551/pfq_2024_1_4
Nurkhodzsa Akbulaev
Tax revenues that the state obtains by force from its citizens based on its sovereign authority make up the majority of public revenues and influence financial policy. Economic development is the first financial policy aim. Tax revenues impact economic growth directly and indirectly through savings, consumption, output, and employment. Many macroeconomic factors improve with economic expansion. Economic growth boosts economic activity and tax income. This research examines Azerbaijan’s tax kinds, tax revenues, and economic development from 1991 through 2021. Tax revenues and economic growth were analysed using time series methods. Unit root and Maki structural break cointegration tests were employed. In the research with three structural breakdowns, a long-term cointegration connection was discovered between tax revenues and economic growth in all models.
国家根据其主权权力从公民那里强制获得的税收占公共收入的大部分,并影响着财政政策。经济发展是财政政策的首要目标。税收通过储蓄、消费、产出和就业直接或间接地影响经济增长。许多宏观经济因素都会随着经济扩张而改善。经济增长促进了经济活动和税收收入。本研究考察了阿塞拜疆从 1991 年到 2021 年的税收种类、税收收入和经济发展情况。采用时间序列方法对税收收入和经济增长进行了分析。采用了单位根和 Maki 结构断裂协整检验。在三个结构断裂的研究中,发现所有模型中的税收收入和经济增长之间都存在长期的协整关系。
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引用次数: 0
Report on ‚The Central & Eastern European Forum 2024’ conference 2024 年中东欧论坛 "会议报告
Pub Date : 2024-03-28 DOI: 10.35551/pfq_2024_1_8
Tamás Pesuth, Szabolcs Grébel
The Central & Eastern European Forum 2024, organised by Euromoney, took place in Viennafrom 16-17 January 2024.In this report, we shed light on the economic trends and challenges in the region, based on the panel discussions at the two-day Euromoney conference. The conference highlighted a number of key issues and featured a number of leading speakers from government and business.
由欧洲货币组织(Euromoney)主办的 "2024 年中东欧论坛 "于 2024 年 1 月 16-17 日在维也纳举行。会议强调了一系列关键问题,并邀请了来自政府和商界的多位主要发言人。
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引用次数: 0
Meritocratic economic policies in the service of the middle class 为中产阶级服务的精英经济政策
Pub Date : 2024-03-28 DOI: 10.35551/pfq_2024_1_1
László György, Gergely Horváth, Dániel Molnár
By the 2010s, the middle classes of the Western world had become the biggest losers from the accelerating globalisation processes since the 1970s. Several proposals have been made regarding what economic policies should be put in place to strengthen the lower classes. These would typically redistribute income from the rich to the poor. Hungary has chosen a particular path in response to the disadvantages of globalisation: in our interpretation, it has shifted income from the rent-seekers to the middle class. Based on our definition of the middle class, which takes into account income, wealth, housing and the need for intellectual and cultural
到 2010 年代,西方世界的中产阶级已成为 20 世纪 70 年代以来加速全球化进程的最大输家。关于应采取何种经济政策来加强下层阶级,人们提出了一些建议。这些建议通常是将富人的收入重新分配给穷人。匈牙利选择了一条特殊的道路来应对全球化的弊端:根据我们的解释,它将收入从寻租者转移到了中产阶级。我们对中产阶级的定义考虑了收入、财富、住房以及对知识和文化的需求。
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引用次数: 0
Digitalisation, digital transformation – In the practice of the National Tax and Customs Office 数字化、数字化转型 - 国家税务和海关总署的实践
Pub Date : 2024-03-28 DOI: 10.35551/pfq_2024_1_5
Anikó Vozár, Erika Bán
Our research has shown that digital solutions have increased the efficiency of official audits carried out by the National Tax and Customs Administration (hereinafter Nemzeti Adó- és Vámhivatal, NAV), making it easier to compare tax authority and taxpayer data. A new way of thinking has been introduced at the NAV as a result of digitalisation solutions. The overall impact is positive, with synergies between NAV and taxpayers. Following the beginnings, we will look at the digital solutions of the present and map out the opportunities for development in the near future, using several research methods. What has NAV’s digitisation activity given us and what can it give us? Time, efficiency, smoother administration, more queries for taxpayers and their partners. A change of mindset, a changing audit methodology, permanent change. Transforming jobs, the possibility of using artificial intelligence. The focus of audits will remain on the examination of human activities, but the role of the human factor in audits will be reduced.
我们的研究表明,数字化解决方案提高了国家税务和海关总署(以下简称 Nemzeti Adó- és Vámhivatal,NAV)进行官方审计的效率,使税务机关和纳税人的数据更容易比较。由于采用了数字化解决方案,国家税务和海关总署引入了一种新的思维方式。整体影响是积极的,国家税务局和纳税人之间产生了协同效应。我们将通过几种研究方法,审视当前的数字化解决方案,并描绘出不久将来的发展机遇。国税局的数字化活动给了我们什么,又能给我们带来什么?时间、效率、更顺畅的管理、为纳税人及其合作伙伴提供更多查询。思维方式的改变,审计方法的改变,永久性的改变。改变工作岗位,使用人工智能的可能性。审计的重点仍将是对人类活动的审查,但人为因素在审计中的作用将被削弱。
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引用次数: 0
Evolution of the revenue/ expenditure structure and passenger cost coverage ratio of regular passenger transport between 2007 and 2022 2007 至 2022 年间常规客运的收支结构和客运成本覆盖率的变化情况
Pub Date : 2024-03-28 DOI: 10.35551/pfq_2024_1_2
Balázs Ács, István Kövesdi
This article presents a general methodology for aggregating the actual costs and revenues of public transport in Hungary, which allows to calculate a realistic passenger (user) cost coverage ratio for the main players in the domestic market (MÁV-Volán Group, GYSEV, BKK). After an international perspective and a presentation of the specificities of the domestic market, it is concluded that the cost coverage ratio for fixed rail transport is significantly lower than for public transport services on road. The main reason for this is that fixed rail infrastructure is expensive to develop and operate and is mainly used by public passenger transport. The ridership ratio is significantly reduced by significant investments, and this has been analysed both on a time series and average basis. We present the timetable, tariff changes and major investments that have had an impact on ridership rates, typically only to a small extent. Our analysis is financially oriented and only touches on positive externalities, social benefits and the general government balance
本文介绍了汇总匈牙利公共交通实际成本和收入的一般方法,从而可以计算出国内市场主要参与者(MÁV-Volán 集团、GYSEV、BKK)的实际乘客(用户)成本覆盖率。从国际视角和国内市场的特殊性出发,得出的结论是,固定铁路运输的成本覆盖率明显低于公路公共交通服务的成本覆盖率。其主要原因是,固定铁路基础设施的开发和运营成本高昂,而且主要用于公共客运。由于投资巨大,乘客比例明显降低,我们对此进行了时间序列分析和平均分析。我们介绍了对客座率有影响的时刻表、运价变化和重大投资,通常影响很小。我们的分析以财务为导向,只涉及积极的外部效应、社会效益和政府总收支平衡。
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引用次数: 0
The role of compliance in the operation of credit institutions 合规在信贷机构运营中的作用
Pub Date : 2024-03-28 DOI: 10.35551/pfq_2024_1_3
Andrea Pelei, Petra Benedek
The aim of this article is to present a conceptual framework for compliance with legal and ethical standards in the business environment, with a particular focus on the role and current challenges of internal control. The paper describes systems and methods for developing effective compliance risk management strategies. The paper presents the importance of an organization’s internal control systems through a literature review. It shows how compliance tools can be used to prevent harmful processes and how to deal with abuses such as money laundering. Finally, the article outlines new compliance challenges, such as the indirect effects of the Russia-Ukraine war and the challenges of implementing sanctions.
本文旨在介绍在商业环境中遵守法律和道德标准的概念框架,尤其侧重于内部控制的作用和当前面临的挑战。本文介绍了制定有效合规风险管理战略的系统和方法。论文通过文献综述介绍了组织内部控制系统的重要性。文章介绍了如何利用合规工具来防止有害流程,以及如何应对洗钱等滥用行为。最后,文章概述了新的合规挑战,如俄乌战争的间接影响和实施制裁的挑战。
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引用次数: 0
Funding gap in the Hungarian venture capital market 匈牙利风险资本市场的资金缺口
Pub Date : 2023-12-21 DOI: 10.35551/pfq_2023_4_2
András Póra, Árpád Szőcs
Our study investigates the size of the so-called financing gap in the Hungarian venture capital market, i.e. the amount that can potentially be lent out, which is currently not covered by the Hungarian financial intermediary system on a market basis. The relevant literature will be reviewed to assess the performance and characteristics of the Hungarian market. The Hungarian financial intermediation system, traditionally based on banking, underperforms in all segments of capital market financing, even by Central and Eastern European standards. In our research, we sought to find out whether the available sources of venture capital could meet market needs. Both the number and volume of transactions in the domestic venture capital and private equity markets are low by international standards, and the role of the state is below the average for CEE countries. The novelty of our analysis lies in the fact that there is no similar literature available in Hungary. Our estimation based on linear regression revealed a strong relationship between venture capital investment and current GDP. The difference between the estimated potential risk capital stock and the annual averages zrealized clearly shows the market gap. In addition to the public programmes already implemented, the annual amount of risk capital missing from the domestic market is in the order of EUR 12.5-31.6 million, i.e. roughly HUF 5.1-13.3 billion per year at the euro exchange rate at the time of analysis. If this resource were available, domestic startups would have greater growth opportunities. Our analysis suggests that not only a state presence but even an increase in it, seems justifiable (or at least worth exploring). The research was supported by the National Research, Development and Innovation Office (FK-142492).
我们的研究调查了匈牙利风险资本市场所谓的融资缺口的规模,即目前匈牙利金融中介体系在市场基础上无法覆盖的潜在贷款金额。将对相关文献进行审查,以评估匈牙利市场的表现和特点。匈牙利的金融中介体系传统上以银行业为基础,在资本市场融资的各个环节都表现不佳,即使按照中欧和东欧的标准也是如此。在研究中,我们试图了解现有的风险资本来源能否满足市场需求。按照国际标准,国内风险资本和私募股权市场的交易数量和交易额都很低,国家的作用也低于中欧和东欧国家的平均水平。我们分析的新颖之处在于匈牙利没有类似的文献。我们基于线性回归进行的估算显示,风险资本投资与当前国内生产总值之间存在密切关系。潜在风险资本存量估算值与年度平均实现值之间的差异清楚地表明了市场差距。除已实施的公共计划外,国内市场每年缺少的风险资本约为 1250-3160 万欧元,按分析时的欧元汇率计算,即每年约 51-133 亿福林。如果能获得这些资源,国内初创企业将有更大的发展机会。我们的分析表明,不仅国家存在,甚至增加国家存在似乎都是合理的(或至少值得探讨)。本研究得到了国家研究、发展和创新办公室(FK-142492)的支持。
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引用次数: 0
The last 22 years of student lending – Analysis of the socio-economic impact of the student loan product family 过去 22 年的学生贷款--学生贷款产品家族的社会经济影响分析
Pub Date : 2023-12-21 DOI: 10.35551/pfq_2023_4_6
Bálint Duráczky
The Student Loan Center was established 22 years ago by the first civic government with the aim of increasing access to higher education. The measure was particularly important in channeling talented students from poor financial circumstances into higher education. Over the past two decades, both higher education and the socio-economic environment surrounding higher education have changed considerably. The aim of this study is to examine the extent to which student loan instruments have been able to maintain their effectiveness over this period. Through a historical overview and the presentation of results from questionnaire data collection, the study demonstrates that student loan products have adapted to the changing environment by introducing and adapting existing products, and that they are still very popular among higher education students.
22 年前,第一届公民政府成立了学生贷款中心,旨在增加接受高等教育的机会。这项措施对于帮助经济条件较差的优秀学生接受高等教育尤为重要。在过去的二十年里,高等教育和高等教育周围的社会经济环境都发生了巨大变化。本研究的目的是探讨在此期间,学生贷款工具在多大程度上保持了其有效性。通过对历史的回顾和对问卷数据收集结果的介绍,本研究表明,学生贷款产品已经通过引入和调整现有产品来适应不断变化的环境,而且这些产品仍然深受高等教育学生的欢迎。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Pénzügyi Szemle = Public Finance Quarterly
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