The Russia-China Agricultural Trade: A Comparative Advantages Analysis

Vasilii L. Erokhin
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Abstract

Agricultural trade between Russia and China has been growing at an unprecedented pace in recent years. The recently announced agreement on the supply of grain from Russia to China within the New Land Grain Corridor lays a solid foundation for long-term cooperation between the two countries in the agricultural sector. However, the persistent trade imbalances do not allow Russian and Chinese agricultural enterprises to unlock their com-petitive advantages and radically increase mutual trade turnover. The paper calculates the indicators of con-centration, diversification, and structural changes in foreign trade, as well as the Revealed Comparative Ad-vantages index for 29 categories of food and agricultural products traded between Russia and China. Based the 2000–2022 data, commodity items are identified where the comparative disadvantages of one country can be compensated by the comparative advantages of another, in particular, grains and oilseeds, fish and crusta-ceans, and processed vegetables and fruits. The findings of the study can be taken into account by the gov-ernment bodies and businesses of both countries when developing trade and economic cooperation programs.
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俄中农业贸易:比较优势分析
近年来,俄中两国之间的农产品贸易以前所未有的速度增长。最近宣布的 "陆上粮食新通道 "俄罗斯对华粮食供应协议为两国在农业领域的长期合作奠定了坚实基础。然而,持续存在的贸易不平衡并没有让中俄两国的农业企业释放其竞争优势,从根本上提高相互贸易额。本文计算了对外贸易的集中化、多样化和结构变化指标,以及中俄之间 29 类食品和农产品贸易的显性比较优势指数。根据 2000-2022 年的数据,确定了一国的比较劣势可以被另一国的比较优势所弥补的商品种类,特别是谷物和油籽、鱼类和海洋生物以及加工蔬菜和水果。两国政府机构和企业在制定贸易和经济合作计划时,可参考研究结果。
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