Possible Routes for Scotland to Independence after Britain’s Exit

Inna A. Fadeeva
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Abstract

This article analyzes the interactions between Great Britain, Scotland and the European Union as a result of the emergence of a new status of their relationship as a result of Brexit. To conduct the study, the following meth-ods were used: analysis of scientific literature, results of public opinion polls, synthesis and logical generaliza-tion of conclusions, a systematic approach to formulate various options for a possible solution to the problem of Scottish independence. The results of a study of the relationship between the British and Scottish governments in the negotiation process are presented, with particular reference to the goals of Scottish institutions. The study of this case study of intergovernmental cooperation within one country was complemented by an analysis of the adopted model of decentralization in the light of the changes that follow from a systemic, socio-economic and political point of view from leaving the EU, taking into account the role of the UK. Possible directions for the development of Scottish independence are formulated, taking into account various points of view, social, eco-nomic and political factors influencing the above processes: receive an offer from the European Union on con-tinuity in order to remain in the union as a permanent member; hold a referendum on independence, for which the consent of Great Britain must be obtained; remain in the United Kingdom and develop the economy togeth-er without EU participation. It is shown that it is necessary to make possible decisions based on the justification of all possible consequences of each option.
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英国退欧后苏格兰可能的独立之路
本文分析了英国脱欧导致大不列颠、苏格兰和欧盟之间关系出现新状态后的互动关系。研究采用了以下方法:科学文献分析、民意调查结果、结论的综合与逻辑归纳、为苏格兰独立问题的可能解决方案制定各种备选方案的系统方法。本文介绍了对谈判过程中英国政府与苏格兰政府之间关系的研究结果,特别提到了苏格兰机构的目标。在对这一国家内部政府间合作案例进行研究的同时,还结合英国的作用,从制度、社会经济和政治的角度分析了脱离欧盟后所采取的权力下放模式。考虑到影响上述进程的各种观点、社会、生态经济和政治因素,提出了苏格兰独立发展的可能方向:接受欧盟关于连续性的提议,以便作为永久成员留在欧盟中;就独立问题举行全民公决,为此必须征得英国的同意;留在英国,在没有欧盟参与的情况下共同发展经济。这表明,有必要在对每种选择的所有可能后果进行论证的基础上做出可能的决定。
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