Juan José Arévalo 1945 to 1951: legacies and lessons for the current democracy movement in Guatemala

Alan LeBaron
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Abstract

Juan José Arévalo and the “revolutionaries” brought tremendous change to Guatemala. But well before Arévalo left office, the Revolution was already in the crosshairs of US military might. At least three challenges threatened the government of Arévalo: the ultra conservatives or the “anti-revolutionaries”; competitive aspirations of the revolutionaries; and the overarching power of the US businesses and US government. Arévalo encountered these challenges from the first day of his presidency, and thereafter. Bernardo Arévalo, Guatemala’s recently elected president, faces similar dangers: a powerful opposition from an entrenched civilian and military oligarchy, urban and rural disconnections, foreign economic power and influences, national inequality and corruption, and indigenous and ladino/Hispanic conflicting aspirations. The 78 years spread between 1945 and 2023 means that the details are different, but similarities testify to continuing troubles in Guatemala. A major difference is the 21st century power of indigenous peoples, and Bernardo Arévalo’s pledge to honor and work for the concerns of the indigenous peoples as well as all Guatemalans. This contrasts with the revolutionaries of the 1940s who classified indigenous peoples as peasants requiring education and uplifting through assimilation into the national Hispanic “culture”. In an apparent second difference, currently the United States has been a strong supporter of the new president and the democracy movement. In 1945, the US also appeared to favor Juan José Arévalo, and then soon turned against him.
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胡安-何塞-阿雷瓦洛 1945 至 1951 年:危地马拉当前民主运动的遗产和教训
胡安-何塞-阿雷瓦洛和 "革命者 "给危地马拉带来了巨大的变化。但早在阿雷瓦洛卸任之前,革命就已经处于美国军事力量的包围之中。至少有三个挑战威胁着阿雷瓦洛政府:极端保守派或 "反革命分子";革命者的竞争愿望;以及美国企业和美国政府的支配性力量。阿雷瓦洛从就任总统的第一天起就遇到了这些挑战。最近当选的危地马拉总统贝尔纳多-阿雷瓦洛也面临着类似的危险:来自根深蒂固的文职和军事寡头政治的强大反对力量、城乡脱节、外国经济力量和影响、国家不平等和腐败、土著和拉迪诺/西班牙裔的相互冲突的愿望。1945 年到 2023 年之间相隔 78 年,这意味着细节有所不同,但相似之处证明危地马拉的问题仍在继续。一个主要的不同点是原住民在 21 世纪的力量,以及贝尔纳多-阿雷瓦洛承诺尊重原住民和所有危地马拉人的关切并为之努力。这与 20 世纪 40 年代的革命者形成了鲜明对比,当时的革命者将原住民归类为农民,需要通过同化到西班牙民族的 "文化 "中来进行教育和提升。第二个明显不同之处是,美国目前一直是新总统和民主运动的坚定支持者。1945 年,美国似乎也支持胡安-何塞-阿雷瓦洛,但很快就转而反对他。
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