Improving Project Budgeting Systems by Developing Machine Learning Models

Ahmed Masry Hashala, Kate Andrews
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Abstract

The lack of an efficient budgeting system makes it more difficult for a business to satisfactorily execute projects or gain new business. To improve the accuracy of budgeting using the classical approach, a dynamic system is required. Building dynamic systems that apply machine learning techniques can support companies in improving their budgeting system. This quantitative study built five machine learning regression models: multiple linear regression, artificial neural network, support vector machine, k-nearest neighbors, and random forest. The five built models were used to predict the closing costs of 552 industrial automation projects that were carried out in Africa and the Middle East. Using root mean square error, the model forecast precision was compared to that of the classical system. The outcome shows that there is a significant difference between machine learning models and classical systems. Therefore, the use of machine learning techniques can improve the accuracy for businesses of their budgeting system.
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通过开发机器学习模型改进项目预算系统
缺乏高效的预算编制系统会增加企业执行项目或获得新业务的难度。要提高使用传统方法编制预算的准确性,就需要一个动态系统。建立应用机器学习技术的动态系统可以帮助企业改进预算系统。这项定量研究建立了五个机器学习回归模型:多元线性回归、人工神经网络、支持向量机、k-近邻和随机森林。建立的五个模型用于预测非洲和中东地区 552 个工业自动化项目的结算成本。利用均方根误差,将模型预测精度与经典系统进行了比较。结果表明,机器学习模型与传统系统之间存在显著差异。因此,使用机器学习技术可以提高企业预算系统的准确性。
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