The 2022 Ukraine Crisis: What It Means for Sino-Russian Relations

Abstract

The onset of the Russo-Ukrainian conflict in February 2022, commonly referred to as the 2022 Ukraine crisis, has had a notable impact on the dynamics of Sino-Russian relations. In light of Russia encountering a severe reaction from the global community, it is anticipated that China will assume a mitigating role, owing to their amicable bilateral ties throughout the preceding decade. This study investigates the potential for increased assertiveness in China�s response to the invasion and the resulting implications for their ties. It examines the ramifications of the crisis on Sino-Russian relations, considering the elements that contribute to either the change or continuity of these interactions. It does so by referencing a short historical account of the relations and power dynamics among the relevant actors, employing a realist perspective. The analysis of this study reveals that China has departed from its initially neutral position during the crisis, indicating its capacity to assume the responsibilities associated with becoming a major global power. Nevertheless, their bilateral relations may be advantageous to China with time, primarily due to Russia�s increasing economic reliance and China�s potential for enhancing its global standing.