Indonesia's Electronic Export Potential in The Global Market with Gravity Panel Model Approach

Renny Kurniawati, N. Nawiyah, B. P. Sutjiatmo
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Abstract

The purpose of this study is to calculate Indonesia's electronic export potential to 14 countries during the period 2007-2022 using a panel-gravity approach using the PPML technique. The results of this study confirm the positive and significant relationship between Indonesia's electronics exports and the main component of the gravity model, namely Indonesia's GDP and trading partners. Another variability is the economic openness of trading partners has a positive relationship and exchange rates have a positive but not significant relationship. Variability of distance, and trade agreements have a negative relationship with Indonesia's electronic exports. The results for electronic export potential show that Indonesian electronics still have a lot of leverage to increase its exports to 9 countries. Thus, the position of the electronics industry as a potential industry can be carried out by targeting these countries. But to capitalize on the potential benefits of electronics exports, policymakers need to strengthen infrastructure and regulations related to the electronics industry.
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印尼电子产品出口在全球市场的潜力(重力面板模型法
本研究的目的是利用PPML技术,采用面板引力法计算2007-2022年期间印尼对14个国家的电子产品出口潜力。研究结果证实,印尼电子产品出口与引力模型的主要组成部分(即印尼国内生产总值和贸易伙伴)之间存在显著的正相关关系。另一个变量是贸易伙伴的经济开放度呈正相关,汇率呈正相关但不显著。距离和贸易协定的变化与印尼的电子出口呈负相关。电子产品出口潜力的研究结果表明,印尼电子产品在增加对 9 个国家的出口方面仍有很大的潜力。因此,可以通过瞄准这些国家,将电子行业定位为潜力行业。但是,为了利用电子产品出口的潜在利益,决策者需要加强与电子行业相关的基础设施和法规。
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