CAN CRYPTOCURRENCY MARKETS BE BEATEN? CALENDAR ANOMALIES ASPECT

Süreyya İmre, Orhan Özaydin
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Abstract

The cryptocurrency market is so recent and emerging. As done for every financial market, the participants of this market act to beat it by using historical price data. In literature, traditional financial markets, e.g. stock and exchange, are non-effective due to calendar anomaly, by period. This study applied to a comprehensive empirical research including 5 calendar effect anomaly on top 9 cryptocurrencies. Thanks to GARCH model, not returns only but also variances were examined. Generally, cryptocurrencies have weak form and non-efficient market. In detail, every cryptocurrency has at least one calendar anomaly.
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加密货币市场会被打败吗?日历异常方面
加密货币市场是一个新兴市场。与每个金融市场一样,该市场的参与者也会利用历史价格数据来战胜它。在文献中,传统的金融市场,如股票和交易所,由于日历异常,在不同时期是无效的。本研究对 9 种顶级加密货币进行了全面的实证研究,包括 5 种日历效应异常。由于采用了 GARCH 模型,不仅对收益进行了研究,还对方差进行了研究。一般来说,加密货币具有弱形式和非有效市场。具体而言,每种加密货币至少有一种日历异常。
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