TRANSFORMATION OF THE REGIONAL STRUCTURE OF THE WORLD COFFEE MARKET (THE END OF THE 20TH - BEGINNING OF THE 21ST CENTURY)

D.V. Zayats, A.S. Petrova, T.Kh. Tkachenko
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Abstract

The article analyses the scale and causes of shifts in the regional structure of a major industry market, i. e. the world coffee market. Among the factors that determined high dynamics of the global demand for coffee over the specified period, the growth of well-being of the world population is considered, which is especially fast in developing countries, significantly outpacing the “traditional” markets of developed countries in terms of the coffee consumption growth. Other factors considered are innovations in coffee production technologies, the continuing growth of the urbanization of the population, shifts in the structure of the types of labor activity of the population towards larger share of mental labor, whose representatives are characterized by increased rates of coffee consumption, the growing demand for more expensive and high-quality products, and the strengthening “status” role of coffee consumption. The regional structure of coffee consumption, which is formed under the influence of these factors, is considered. In line with the evolution of demand, there are significant shifts in the supply sphere; it is shown that the regional supply structure has experienced the most significant transformation in the green coffee commodity segment: the main coffee-producing regions of the world have changed their places - the share of Asia has sharply increased and the share of Africa has decreased. It is shown that Asia has also significantly increased its role in the other two main product segments, i.e. roasted and instant coffee. In general, the demonstrated “Asian” shift in the coffee market could evidence the essence of the current economic and geographical transition.
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世界咖啡市场区域结构的转变(20 世纪末 - 21 世纪初)
文章分析了一个主要行业市场(即世界咖啡市场)区域结构变化的规模和原因。在决定特定时期全球咖啡需求高动态的因素中,考虑了世界人口福祉的增长,尤其是发展中国家的快速增长,在咖啡消费增长方面大大超过了发达国家的 "传统 "市场。其他考虑因素包括:咖啡生产技术的创新、人口城市化的持续增长、人口劳动活动类型结构向脑力劳动占更大比重的转变(脑力劳动的代表特征是咖啡消费率的增长)、对更昂贵和高质量产品的需求增长以及咖啡消费 "地位 "作用的加强。在这些因素的影响下形成了咖啡消费的地区结构。随着需求的演变,供应领域也发生了重大变化;研究表明,在绿色咖啡商品领域,地区供应结构经历了最重大的转变:世界主要咖啡生产地区的位置发生了变化--亚洲的份额急剧增加,非洲的份额有所下降。在烘焙咖啡和速溶咖啡这两个主要产品领域,亚洲的作用也显著增强。总体而言,咖啡市场的 "亚洲 "转变证明了当前经济和地理转型的本质。
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