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SENSITIVITY OF A 1D LAKE MODEL TO THE INPUT METEOROLOGICAL DATA 一维湖泊模型对输入气象数据的敏感性
Pub Date : 2024-07-02 DOI: 10.55959/msu0579-9414.5.79.3.6
M. Tereshina, O. Erina, D. Sokolov
The paper evaluates how the choice of a source of meteorological data used as boundary conditions and the changes in model calibration parameters affect the adequate performance of a model of lake thermo- and hydrodynamics. The quality of simulation of water temperature dynamics in a small lake by a onedimensional GLM model using data from an automatic meteorological station on the lake shore, a state weather station and two global reanalyses was quantitatively assessed. It is shown that the best modeling result (RMSE of water temperature calculation 0,8-2,0°C, Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency >0,7) can be achieved using data sets that explicitly provide incoming shortwave and longwave radiation fluxes. At the same time, good representation of the bottom water temperature requires correct setting of wind regime, which is only possible if data from instrumental ground-based observations at a stationary weather station are applied. Combining ground-based observations of wind speed, air temperature and humidity with radiation fluxes from global reanalyses makes it possible to achieve a calculation error ≤1°C at all depths.The analysis of model sensitivity to calibration parameters in case when the reanalysis data are applied showed that parameters related to wind mixing, i.e. the scaling factor for wind speed and constants related to the in-model description of wind impact energy, have the greatest influence on the final calculation error. If we change the intensity coefficients of other types of mixing during calibration it does not lead to an obvious trend in the quantitative estimates of modeling quality. It could also be reasonable to introduce correction multipliers to the values of air temperature and solar radiation fluxes, thus neutralizing the effect of unrepresentativeness of the meteorological data applied for a particular lake, as well as to correct the value of solar radiation extinction coefficient relative to the value obtained from the Secchi depth. The results of the study could be used to justify the choice of meteorological data source and to optimize the methods of calibration of lake thermal stratification models
本文评估了作为边界条件的气象数据源的选择和模型校准参数的变化如何影响湖泊热动力和水动力模型的适当性能。利用湖岸自动气象站、州气象站和两个全球再分析数据,对一维 GLM 模型模拟小湖水温动态的质量进行了定量评估。结果表明,使用明确提供入射短波和长波辐射通量的数据集可以获得最佳建模结果(水温计算均方根误差为 0.8-2.0°C, 纳什-苏特克利夫效率大于 0.7)。同时,要很好地反映水底温度,就必须正确设置风向,而这只有通过固定气象站的地面仪器观测数据才能实现。在应用再分析数据的情况下,对模型校准参数敏感性的分析表明,与风混合有关的参数,即风速的比例系数和与模型内风冲击能量描述有关的常数,对最终计算误差的影响最大。如果我们在校准过程中改变其他类型混合的强度系数,并不会对建模质量的定量估算产生明显的影响。对气温和太阳辐射通量值引入校正乘数也是合理的,这样可以中和适用于特定湖泊的气象数据不具代表性所造成的影响,还可以校正太阳辐射消光系数值与根据 Secchi 深度获得的值之间的关系。研究结果可用于证明气象数据源选择的合理性,并优化湖泊热分层模型的校准方法。
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引用次数: 0
ADAPTATION OF AN AGRICULTURAL PROJECT TO THE REGULATION OF GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS 使农业项目适应温室气体排放条例
Pub Date : 2024-07-02 DOI: 10.55959/msu0579-9414.5.79.3.3
D. Kovbashin, N. M. Svetlov, N. Dronin
Using an original methodological approach, a model analysis of the adaptation of an agricultural project to the regulation of greenhouse gas emissions from agricultural land was carried out for the farms in the south of Russia. Emissions from both technological and ecosystem processes were taken into account. Methods of operations research and simulation modeling are applied to the study of two options for regulating greenhouse gas emissions, i.e. through market mechanisms focusing on the cost of carbon units in the EU and through the administrative control, which sets the emission limits. For each of the options, the optimal intensity of use was estimated for each land plot involved in the project.The proposed methodology supplements the scientific and methodological support for the analysis of the largescale agricultural projects under the state regulation of the impact of economic activities on the Earth’s climate. It is applicable to projects with a significant spatial dispersion of plots. As a result of the study, the scientific visions of the climate policy impact on the technological configuration of agricultural production were specified. A significant margin of sustainability of agriculture in the south of Russia to carbon market methods has been revealed; It is shown that as the restrictive administrative approaches are tightened, farmers prefer to stop the intensive use of areas with the highest productivity potential while maintaining the maximum production intensity within the rest. The totality of the results obtained is recommended for practical application for developing and analyzing investment agricultural projects, including the analysis of project risks, as well as for improving the state environmental and climate policy as a tool for analyzing its consequences.
利用独创的方法论,对俄罗斯南部农场的农业项目适应农业用地温室气体排放监管的情况进行了模型分析。技术过程和生态系统过程的排放量都被考虑在内。运筹学和模拟建模方法被应用于研究调节温室气体排放的两种方案,即通过以欧盟碳单位成本为重点的市场机制和通过设定排放限制的行政控制。对于每种方案,都对项目涉及的每块土地的最佳使用强度进行了估算。所提出的方法为分析国家调控经济活动对地球气候影响下的大型农业项目提供了科学和方法上的支持。该方法适用于地块空间高度分散的项目。研究结果明确了气候政策对农业生产技术配置影响的科学设想。研究表明,随着限制性行政措施的收紧,农民倾向于停止密集使用具有最高生产潜力的地区,同时在其余地区保持最大的生产强度。建议将获得的全部结果实际应用于开发和分析农业投资项目,包括项目风险分析,以及改进国家环境和气候政策,作为分析其后果的工具。
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引用次数: 0
DISPERAL OF THE LILIACEAE REPRESENTATIVES IN RELATION TO THE STRUCTURE OF THEIR REPRODUCTIVE ORGANS 百合科代表植物的扩散与其生殖器官结构的关系
Pub Date : 2024-07-02 DOI: 10.55959/msu0579-9414.5.79.3.1
P. S. Iovlev, A. V. Bobrov, M. Romanov, N. Zdravchev, A. S. Timchenko, M. V. Kandidov, N. D. Vasekha, A. A. Mikhaylova, M. Stevanovich, K. V. Kuptsov, A. N. Sorokin
The Liliaceae family is a terminal one in the order Liliales sensu APG IV (2016) and consists of 15 genera with more than 700 species. The family’s geographical range covers most of the Northern hemisphere and extends through several natural zones, from forest tundra (Gagea species) to tropical forests (Tricyrtis imeldae Guthnick), within three continents, i. e. Eurasia, North America and Africa. Most Liliaceous genera occur both in Eurasia and North America. Representatives of Liliaceae develop coenocarpous fleshly indehiscent berries or dry dehiscent capsules. In most cases, multi-seeded berries themselves are a diaspore, whereas in the case of capsules, the seeds are normally a diaspora. The capsules play a vital role in seed dispersal. Structural adaptations of fruits allowed representatives of Liliaceae to spread into the territories that make up the modern range of the family.The aim of the study is to determine the principal patterns of fruit development for the representatives of Liliaceae with different types of dissemination. The study is based on the investigation of morphological and anatomical structure of fruits which is related to geography, ecology and biology of the Liliaceae taxa dissemination.The study has revealed that the wind is the most typical and widespread agent of dissemination for the investigated representatives of Liliaceae. The specialized capsules responsible for anemochory, i.e. auto-anemochory and anemochionochory (mainly in representatives of the ground cover of deciduous forests in temperate and subtropical climatic zones of the Holarctic Kingdom), are characteristic of representatives of the Lilioideae subfamily. Unlike the capsules supporting the anemochory, which actively participate in dissemination, the primary function of capsules of baromyrmecochorous representatives of Liliaceae is seed production rather than their dispersal, which is reflected in the anatomical structure of the capsules, with numerous intercellular spaces in the pericarp and almost complete lack of its lignification. The endozoochory of fleshly berries of Liliaceae is effective for dispersal by long-distance transport, primarily by birds. Supposedly, the ornitochory prevents dispersal among a large number of ecosystems, which is echoed in the ranges of Clintonia, Prosartes and Streptopus genera, representatives of the ground cover of coniferous and broadleaf forests of the Holarctic Kingdom.
百合科(Liliaceae)是百合目(Liliales sensu APG IV,2016 年)的末级科,由 15 个属 700 多个物种组成。该科的地理范围覆盖了北半球的大部分地区,并延伸至欧亚、北美和非洲三大洲的多个自然区,从森林苔原(Gagea 种)到热带森林(Tricyrtis imeldae Guthnick)。大多数百合属植物都分布在欧亚大陆和北美洲。百合科的代表植物发育成同果异形的肉质不裂浆果或干燥的开裂蒴果。在大多数情况下,多籽浆果本身是一种二孢子,而在蒴果中,种子通常是一种二孢子。蒴果在种子传播中起着至关重要的作用。果实的结构适应性使百合科的代表植物得以传播到构成百合科现代分布范围的地域。研究基于对果实形态和解剖结构的调查,这与百合科类群传播的地理学、生态学和生物学有关。研究表明,风是所调查的百合科代表植物最典型、最广泛的传播媒介。负责风媒的特化蒴果,即自动风媒和风媒风媒(主要存在于全北王国温带和亚热带气候区落叶林的地被植物中),是百合亚科代表植物的特征。蒴果的解剖结构反映了这一点:果皮上有许多细胞间隙,几乎完全没有木质化。百合科多肉浆果的内果皮对远距离传播非常有效,主要是通过鸟类。据推测,这种内果皮结构阻碍了在大量生态系统中的传播,这一点在 Clintonia 属、Prosartes 属和 Streptopus 属的分布范围中得到了印证,它们是北冰洋针叶林和阔叶林地面覆盖物的代表。
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引用次数: 0
CONDITIONS OF THE OAK FORESTS GROWTH AND CULTIVATION ON THE TOP SURFACES AND SLOPES OF THE NEAR-VOLGA AND ERGENI UPLANDS AND THE PLAINS OF THE SAL-MANYCH INTERFLUVE 近伏尔加河和额尔古纳河高地以及萨尔-曼奇河谷平原顶部和斜坡上橡树林的生长和种植条件
Pub Date : 2024-07-02 DOI: 10.55959/msu0579-9414.5.79.3.5
A. S. Manaenkov
Planted oak forests in the south of European Russia are of great conservation and economic importance. The widespread practice of their creation in dry steppes and semideserts dates back to the 1950-1970s and allows to form oak (Quercus robur L.) plantations with longevity up to 40-60 years. The aim of the study is to investigate the growth features of oak trees under different soil-climatic and biocenotic conditions and to suggest methods to increase their longevity.The research was carried out in 2011-2016 in the south of the Near-Volga Upland, the northern part of the Ergeni Upland and lowland plains of the Sal-Manych interfluve at 28 temporary sample plots using common methods of forest inventory and regression data analysis.It has been established that the viability of oak is limited by unfavorable topographic position of plantations, increased climate dryness (HC 0,4-0,6), high content of soil carbonates and shallow-lying horizon of their accumulation, as well as the presence of shrub layer and other competitors for moisture. Under these conditions, afforestation of depressions on the plains and shady slopes with pure plantations of oak and other species without shrubs should gain advantage. The methods of their creation should be modified depending on the topographic position of particular forest area and the climate dryness.So, the main soil cultivation in depressions could last 1-2 years, applying the system of black fallow with plantation plowing. It is advisable to keep 3,5-4,0-meter row spacing, frequent tending, and intensive clearing of young tree stands. Maturer plantations need careful sanitary-selective cuttings, mainly the low-type ones, and preservation of high canopy density. Poor water availability and deterioration of plantations should be prevented by construction of dams.Reclamation plantations of low marketability are created on flat areas after 2-3 years of deeper basic tillage. The carbonate horizon should be loosened and a large moisture reserve is needed. Row spacing of 2,5-3,0 meters is reasonable, accelerating the canopy closure. The area of tree nutrition is expanded by low-intensive uniformly selective cuttings, forming more open stands. The longevity of oak in already existing plantations could be increased by eliminating its competitors, such as living ground cover, shrubs and associated species.
欧洲俄罗斯南部的人工橡树林具有重要的保护和经济意义。在干旱草原和半荒漠地区广泛种植栎树的历史可以追溯到 1950-1970 年代,当时种植的栎树寿命长达 40-60 年。这项研究的目的是调查不同土壤气候和生物气候条件下橡树的生长特征,并提出延长其寿命的方法。研究于 2011-2016 年在近伏尔加高原南部、额尔古纳高原北部和萨尔-马尼奇交汇处低地平原的 28 个临时样地进行,采用了森林资源调查和回归数据分析的常用方法。结果表明,栎树的生存能力受到以下因素的限制:种植园的不利地形位置、气候干燥度增加(HC 0.4-0.6)、土壤碳酸盐含量高、碳酸盐堆积层浅,以及灌木层和其他水分竞争者的存在。在这些条件下,在平原和阴坡的洼地植树造林,种植纯栎树和其他不含灌木的树种,应该会获得优势。因此,洼地的主要土壤耕作可以持续 1-2 年,采用黑休耕加人工耕作的方式。最好保持 3.5-4.0 米的行距,经常修剪,并集中清理幼树。成熟的植树造林需要谨慎的卫生选择性扦插,主要是低矮类型的扦插,并保持较高的树冠密度。在经过 2-3 年的深层基础耕作后,可在平地上开垦出市场价值较低的种植园。应疏松碳酸盐地层,并需要大量的水分储备。行距以 2.5-3.0 米为宜,以加速树冠的闭合。通过低强度均匀选择性扦插,扩大树木营养面积,形成更开阔的林分。在现有的种植园中,可以通过消除栎树的竞争者(如活的地被植物、灌木和相关物种)来延长栎树的寿命。
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引用次数: 0
MINERALOGICAL AND GEOCHEMICAL PARAMETERS OF SNOW COVER WITHIN THE ANTHROPOGENICALLY DISTURBED SITES OF THE NADYM-PUR INTERFLUVE (NORTHERN PART OF WESTERN SIBERIA) 纳定姆-普尔交汇处(西伯利亚西部北部)人为干扰地区雪盖的矿物学和地球化学参数
Pub Date : 2024-07-02 DOI: 10.55959/msu0579-9414.5.79.3.2
A. Opekunov, M. Opekunova, S. Kukushkin, S. Janson
The article analyzes the content of metals in solid aerosols and snow water sampled in the anthropogeni-cally disturbed and background sites of the Nadym-Pur interfluve. The results of microscopic studies of solid aerosols showed the presence of secondary minerals, technogenic formations, as well as a large amount of pyrite in samples from the eastern part of the study area. The maximum concentrations of metals in solid aero-sols were found in snow of the sanitary protection zones of waste disposal facilities, with the exception of Ca, which prevails in snow cover of Novy Urengoy (up to 10% of dry matter). The urbanized area is characterized by the highest values of dust load (up to 111 mg/m2 a day). The local contamination with Ba within the waste landfills in Novy Urengoy is associated with the sites of barite and drilling waste processing. We applied the factor analysis to identify the main metal associations characteristic of solid aerosols from different functional zones: Ca-Co-V-Mn (city), Ba-Sr-K-Na and Cd-Cu-Pb (waste disposal sites), Cu-Ni-Cd (the entire studied area). Based on the study of the content of dissolved forms in snow water, a high mobility of metals in the northern landscapes and its decrease in urban environment were revealed. The mineralogical and geochemical analysis of snow suggests the influence of the Norilsk industrial region on the eastern part of the Nadym-Pur interfluve, Zn, Cu, Ni, Pb and the mineral pyrite being the indicators. The risks of environmental pollution under the aerotechnogenic transport are associated with high content of Zn, Cu, Ni, Pb and Ba in solid aero-sols. The calculation of the Toxicity Probability Index (MERMQ) showed that some aerosol samples from the landfill sites have a high probability of biological effects. Using data on the chemical composition of soils and soil water, no visible effect of snow pollution on the growth of metal concentrations in soil and soil water was revealed, with the exception of local contamination with Ba, which led to a twofold increase in the content of the metal in the upper soil horizon.
文章分析了在纳定姆-普尔交汇处受人为干扰的地点和背景地点采样的固体气溶胶和雪水中的金属含量。固体气溶胶的显微研究结果表明,在研究区东部的样本中存在次生矿物、技术形成物以及大量黄铁矿。固体气溶胶中金属浓度最高的地方是垃圾处理设施卫生保护区的积雪,但 Ca 除外,在新乌联戈伊的积雪中普遍存在(达到干物质的 10%)。城市化地区的粉尘量最高(每天高达 111 毫克/平方米)。新乌连可伊垃圾填埋场内的局部钡污染与重晶石和钻探废料加工场所有关。我们运用因子分析确定了不同功能区固体气溶胶的主要金属关联特征:Ca-Co-V-Mn(城市)、Ba-Sr-K-Na 和 Cd-Cu-Pb(废物处理场)、Cu-Ni-Cd(整个研究区域)。根据对雪水中溶解形式含量的研究,发现金属在北部地貌中的流动性较高,而在城市环境中的流动性较低。雪的矿物学和地球化学分析表明,诺里尔斯克工业区对纳定姆-普尔交汇处东部地区产生了影响,锌、铜、镍、铅和矿物黄铁矿是影响指标。气溶胶固体中的锌、铜、镍、铅和钡含量较高,这与航空运输造成的环境污染风险有关。毒性概率指数(MERMQ)的计算表明,垃圾填埋场的一些气溶胶样本具有很高的生物效应概率。利用土壤和土壤水的化学成分数据,除了钡的局部污染导致土壤上层的金属含量增加了两倍之外,没有发现雪污染对土壤和土壤水中金属浓度的增长有明显影响。
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引用次数: 0
СLIMATIC AND PHYTOCENOTIC EVENTS OF THE LATE PLEISTOCENE (MIS 5-MIS 3) AT THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF THE GULF OF FINLAND 芬兰湾东南海岸晚更新世(MIS 5-MIS 3)的气候和植物变化事件
Pub Date : 2024-07-02 DOI: 10.55959/msu0579-9414.5.79.3.8
N. S. Bolikhovskaya, A. Molodkov
The paper analyses a debatable issue concerning the ranking of climatic-stratigraphic units within two marine isotope stages (MIS) - MIS 5 and MIS 4. Palynological records from the Mikulino interglacial sections of the northwestern Russian Plain which are most critical for correlations are reviewed. A representative series of numerical dates obtained by the IR-OSL method, and detailed palynological records enabled a detailed climatic-chronostratigraphic division of the Late Pleistocene sequence of the Voka reference section on the southeastern coast of the Gulf of Finland. The representative palynological spectra provide strong evidence of a warm interval of interglacial rank in the latter half of MIS 5, corresponding to the standard M6, M7, and M8 Mikulino palynozones. Additionally, they highlight a period of significant cooling during MIS 4, characterized by the dominance of periglacial vegetation formations in the study area. This challenges the viewpoint of the extensive Kalinin glaciation during that time, believed to have spread many hundreds of kilometers south of the Gulf of Finland. Data for MIS 3 reveal a two-fold alternation of interstadial and stadial (periglacial) climate intervals during the period between 39 ka and 33 ka.For the first time, detailed reconstructions and datings of climate-phytocenotic successions of paleoclimatic events approximately between 100 ka and 30 ka have been provided for the territory of the East European Plain (and Northern Eurasia as a whole). These events correspond to the latter half of MIS 5, MIS 4, and an interval between 39 ka and 33 ka during MIS 3.
本文分析了有关两个海洋同位素阶段(MIS)--MIS 5 和 MIS 4 中气候-地层单元排序的一个有争议的问题。通过 IR-OSL 方法获得的一系列有代表性的数字日期和详细的古植物学记录,对芬兰湾东南海岸沃卡参考剖面的晚更新世序列进行了详细的气候-年代-地层划分。具有代表性的古乐谱提供了强有力的证据,证明在 MIS 5 后半期出现了一个温暖的间冰期,与标准的 M6、M7 和 M8 米库利诺古乐谱相应。此外,它们还突显了 MIS 4 期间的显著降温期,其特点是研究区域的冰期植被形成占主导地位。这就对该时期加里宁冰川大范围蔓延的观点提出了质疑,据信加里宁冰川在芬兰湾以南蔓延了数百公里。MIS 3 的数据显示,在 39 ka ka 至 33 ka ka 期间,间冰期和冰期(围冰期)气候间隔出现了两次交替。首次为东欧平原(乃至整个欧亚大陆北部)提供了大约 100 ka ka 至 30 ka ka 之间古气候事件的气候--更新世演替的详细重建和数据。这些事件分别对应于 MIS 5 后半期、MIS 4 以及 MIS 3 期间的 39 ka 至 33 ka 之间。
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引用次数: 0
SENSITIVITY OF THE KOLYMA RIVER RUNOFF TO MODERN CLIMATE CHANGE 科雷马河径流对现代气候变化的敏感性
Pub Date : 2024-07-02 DOI: 10.55959/msu0579-9414.5.79.3.9
A. A. Lisina, A. A. Sazonov, N. Frolova, I. Krylenko, Yury Motovilov
The Kolyma River is a large river in the continuous permafrost zone. Its basin is subject to significant climatic changes. An information-modeling complex ECOMAG is employed for the study of water regime features and dynamics. ECOMAG calculates daily water flow rates at specified points based on meteorological data with a one-day resolution.This study analyzes the actual dynamics of water runoff and runoff-forming factors during the period from 1979 to 2013. A physical-mathematical model is adapted for the Kolyma River basin. Furthermore, the study examines the sensitivity of water regime characteristics to changing climate parameters. Calibration and verification demonstrated the ECOMAG’s ability to accurately reproduce observed water discharges for two points on the Kolyma River and the satisfactory performance on its tributary, the Bolshoy Anyui River. The ECOMAG model was for the first time employed for the Kolyma River basin, thus allowing the investigation of climate-related runoff changes. The preliminary statistical analysis revealed that if the average hydrological characteristics in the Kolyma River basin from 2000 to 2013 are compared with those from 1979 to 1999 a 5,1% rise of annual river runoff is evident for the Kolymskoye river section 283 km upstream the Kolyma River mouth (from 99,4 km3 in 1979-1999 up to 104,5 km3 in 2000-2013). The ECOMAG model also effectively captures changes in the annual water runoff and its intra-annual distribution.A rise in the mean annual air temperature by 1,3°C is characteristic of the modern time period. According to weather station data, the air temperature in March, April, November, and December increased by more than 2,5°C. The total annual precipitation increased by 8,3%, with September and March experiencing the most pronounced growth.To gain a more comprehensive understanding of the mechanisms governing the Kolyma River’s response to climate changes, the sensitivity of water runoff characteristics to air temperature and precipitation changes was analyzed using the ECOMAG model to generate artificial meteorological data series. The study demonstrates that water discharge is more sensitive to a 5% increase in precipitation than to a 1ºС rise in air temperature.
科雷马河是连续冻土带上的一条大河。该河流域的气候变化很大。为研究水系特征和动态,采用了信息模型综合软件 ECOMAG。本研究分析了 1979 年至 2013 年期间径流量和径流形成因素的实际动态。本研究分析了 1979 年至 2013 年期间的实际径流动态和径流形成因素,并为科雷马河流域调整了一个物理数学模型。此外,研究还探讨了水系特征对气候参数变化的敏感性。校准和验证结果表明,ECOMAG 能够准确再现科雷马河上两个观测点的排水量,在其支流博尔绍伊-安伊伊河上的表现也令人满意。ECOMAG 模型首次用于科雷马河流域,从而可以研究与气候有关的径流变化。初步统计分析表明,如果将 2000 年至 2013 年科里马河流域的平均水文特征与 1979 年至 1999 年的平均水文特征进行比较,科里马河河口上游 283 公里处的科里姆斯科耶河段的年径流量明显增加了 5.1%(从 1979 年至 1999 年的 99.4 千立方米增加到 2000 年至 2013 年的 104.5 千立方米)。ECOMAG 模型还有效地捕捉到了年径流量及其年内分布的变化。根据气象站数据,3 月、4 月、11 月和 12 月的气温上升了 2.5°C 以上。为了更全面地了解科雷马河对气候变化的反应机制,我们利用 ECOMAG 模型生成人工气象数据序列,分析了径流特征对气温和降水变化的敏感性。研究表明,与气温上升 1ºС 相比,水流量对降水量增加 5%更为敏感。
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引用次数: 0
ISOSCAPES AND PALEOISOTHERMS OF THE HOLOCENE MEAN JANUARY AIR TEMPERATURE IN THE NORTHWESTERN SIBERIA (BASED ON STABLE OXYGEN ISOTOPE COMPOSITION OF ICE WEDGES) 西伯利亚西北部全新世一月平均气温的等地貌和古异温带(基于冰楔的稳定氧同位素组成)
Pub Date : 2024-07-02 DOI: 10.55959/msu0579-9414.5.79.3.7
N. A. Budantseva, Y. Vasil'chuk, A. Vasil'chuk
Holocene ice wedges at 16 sites in the Northwestern Siberia were studied, the age of ice wedges was determined, and stable isotope data ( 18O and 2Н values) for all studied ice wedges have been summarized. The δ2H-δ18O ratio and the dexc values for ice wedge ice indicate good preservation of the isotope signal of winter precipitation in ice, which allows to use the obtained δ18O values for paleotemperature reconstructions. The isoscapes (lines of equal 18O values) created for the Holocene ice wedges and modern ice veinlets are generally submeridional; the 18O values decrease from west to east of the study area. Taking into account a new Holocene tripartite division scheme it was shown that the mean January air temperature (TmJ) in the Northwestern Siberia ranged approximately from -21 to -30°С during Greenlandian and the first half of the Northgrippian stage of the Holocene (11,4 to 6 cal ka BP) and approximately from -24 to -27°С from the end of the Northgrippian - to the Meghalayan stage of the Holocene (5,2 to 0,9 cal ka BP). The Holocene isotherms are close to the modern sub-meridional position and show an eastward decrease in TmJ values. Winter climatic conditions in the Northwestern Siberia were generally stable during the Holocene, meanwhile TmJ was on average 1-2°C lower than modern ones.
对西伯利亚西北部 16 个地点的全新世冰楔进行了研究,确定了冰楔的年龄,并总结了所有研究冰楔的稳定同位素数据(18O 和 2Н 值)。冰楔冰的δ2H-δ18O比值和dexc值表明,冬季降水的同位素信号在冰中保存良好,因此可以利用获得的δ18O值进行古温度重建。为全新世冰楔和现代冰脉创建的等值线(18O 值相等的线)一般是水下的;18O 值从研究区的西部向东部递减。根据新的全新世三方划分方案,西伯利亚西北部的一月平均气温(TmJ)在全新世格林兰期和北格里皮期前半期(公元前 11.4 至 6 千卡)大约为-21 至-30°С,从北格里皮期末期到全新世梅加拉亚期(公元前 5.2 至 0.9 千卡)大约为-24 至-27°С。全新世的等温线接近现代的次大气层位置,并显示出 TmJ 值的东向下降。全新世期间,西伯利亚西北部的冬季气候条件总体稳定,同时 TmJ 平均比现代低 1-2°C 。
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引用次数: 0
HEAT BUDGET OF THE BARENTS SEA SURFACE IN WINTER 冬季巴伦支海表层的热量预算
Pub Date : 2024-07-02 DOI: 10.55959/msu0579-9414.5.79.3.10
A. Sumkina, V. V. Ivanov, K. Kivva
Variability of the total heat balance (HB) of the Barents Sea during the cold period of the year has been studied. The cold period is that of cooling of the sea surface when the heat flux is permanently oriented towards the atmosphere. The contribution of two major components of the HB, i. e. sensible and latent heat fluxes, to the observed increase of the total winter heat transfer at the sea-atmosphere interface has been estimated. Data on short-wave and long-wave radiation fluxes, and sensible and latent heat values were obtained from the atmos-pheric reanalysis of the European Center for Medium-term Weather Forecasting ERA5. HB of the sea surface was calculated as a sum of short-wave and long-wave radiation fluxes and those of sensible and latent heat. The total HB, as well as the total flux of sensible and latent heat for the cold period were calculated by summing up the corresponding values between the start and end dates of the cooling season. Calculations demonstrated an increase in the sum of HB over the cold season for the northern part of the Barents Sea (up to 2000 MJ/m2 over 40 years), and a decrease in the southern part of the sea (up to 1000 MJ/m2 over 40 years). In the northern part of the sea, the contribution of sensible and latent heat fluxes decreases to 0,3-0,4. The observed trend of sum of HB over the cold season and its turbulent components could with high probability be explained by increasing difference between air temperature and sea surface temperature.
研究了巴伦支海总热平衡(HB)在一年中寒冷时期的变化情况。寒冷期是指海面冷却的时期,此时热通量长期朝向大气。研究估算了巴伦支海热平衡的两个主要组成部分,即显热通量和潜热通量,对观测到的海洋-大气界面冬季总传热量增加的贡献。有关短波和长波辐射通量以及显热和潜热值的数据来自欧洲中期天气预报中心的大气再分析 ERA5。海面的 HB 是以短波和长波辐射通量以及显热和潜热的总和计算的。寒冷期的总 HB 以及显热和潜热的总通量是通过将寒冷期开始和结束日期之间的相应数值相加计算得出的。计算结果表明,巴伦支海北部寒冷季节的热量总和有所增加(40 年间达 2000 兆焦耳/平方米),而南部则有所减少(40 年间达 1000 兆焦耳/平方米)。在巴伦支海北部,显热通量和潜热通量的贡献率下降到 0.3-0.4。观测到的寒冷季节 HB 总和及其湍流成分的变化趋势,很可能是由于空气温度与海面温度之间的差异增大造成的。
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引用次数: 0
MODERN PROCESSES IN THE BEADED CHANNELS OF STEPPE RIVERS OF THE KHOPER-BUZULUK PLAIN 霍珀-布祖鲁克平原草原河流珠状河道的现代进程
Pub Date : 2024-07-02 DOI: 10.55959/msu0579-9414.5.79.3.11
A. Tarbeeva, I. Krylenko, V. V. Surkov, N. Mikhailova
Beaded-shaped channels (or chain-of-ponds), characterized by alternating lake-like extensions and narrow runs, are widespread on small rivers of the steppe zone of Russia. Extensions of channels - beads (pools or ponds), with a depth of up to 5-6 m, are of great importance for cattle breeding, providing a watering place during the dry periods of the year, when the flow of small rivers stops. However, the mechanisms of their specific channel shape formation are still debatable: it is explained by uneven siltation of channels, formation of whirlpools, groundwater discharge, karst processes or relict thermokarst. The aim of the study was to assess the role of water flow in the formation and support of the beaded shape of river channels. The tasks were to reveal the hydrological regime of the Kardail and Kupava rivers, determine the hydrodynamics of the flow in beads and runs, describe the characteristics of erosion and accumulation processes and the sediment transport, as well as to identify relict elements of the channel and floodplain structure that do not correspond to modern water state. Water flow of the studied rivers shows a long-term decrease in snowmelt flood, as evidenced by the rare flooding of the high-level floodplain, low rates of bank dynamics, and the discrepancy between the size of meanders and the width of the channel. The annual sediment load of the studied beaded rivers is low, estimated at 6,05 t/km2 in 2023. The reason is a low supply of sediments from the catchment area and low rates of erosion of channel bed and banks built of clay and silt. The present-day dynamics of water flow do not help the deepening and expansion of the beads. The flow reaches maximum speed (up to 1-1,3 m/s) in channel runs, while in channel extensions flow speeds drop to 0-0,3 m/s, supporting the sediment accumulation, despite the presence of whirlpools. A significant part of channel extensions is located on sites of former pools of the ancient meandering channel, inherited by the modern watercourse. On the former riffles the channel narrowed and a low-level floodplain was formed. Deep channel extensions were preserved due to the low sediment load and its fine composition, which prevents its rapid settling from the suspension. The results of the study suggest possible contribution of other factors to the formation of original deep pools, including the cryogenic ones.
俄罗斯草原区的小河中广泛分布着珠状河道(或池塘链),其特点是湖状延伸段和狭窄河道交替出现。水深达 5-6 米的水道延伸部分--水珠(水池或池塘)对牛的饲养具有重要意义,在一年中小河水流停止的干旱时期为牛提供了饮水场所。然而,其特殊河道形状的形成机制仍有争议:河道不均匀淤积、漩涡的形成、地下水排放、岩溶过程或热喀斯特遗迹都可以解释。研究的目的是评估水流在河道串珠状形成和支撑过程中的作用。任务是揭示卡尔代尔河和库帕瓦河的水文机制,确定珠状和流状水流的流体力学,描述侵蚀和堆积过程以及沉积物运输的特征,并确定河道和洪泛区结构中与现代水状态不符的遗迹。所研究河流的水流显示融雪洪水长期减少,表现为高位洪泛区洪水稀少、河岸动态速率低以及河道蜿蜒大小与宽度之间的差异。所研究的珠状河流的年泥沙量较低,估计 2023 年为 6.05 吨/平方公里。原因是集水区的沉积物供应量较少,以及河床和由粘土和淤泥筑成的河岸的侵蚀率较低。目前的水流动态不利于水珠的加深和扩大。水流在河道运行时达到最高速度(每秒 1-1.3 米),而在河道延伸段,水流速度则下降到每秒 0-0.3 米,尽管存在漩涡,但仍支持沉积物的积累。河道延伸段的很大一部分位于古代蜿蜒河道的前水池位置,现代河道继承了这些水池。在以前的河道上,河道变窄,形成了低洼的洪泛区。由于泥沙量少,且成分细腻,无法从悬浮物中快速沉降,因此保留了深层河道延伸段。研究结果表明,原始深潭的形成可能与其他因素有关,包括低温因素。
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引用次数: 0
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Lomonosov Geography Journal
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