Camping Tourism in Bulgaria: A time-series analysis of tourist demand

IF 1.1 Q3 GEOGRAPHY Geographia Polonica Pub Date : 2023-11-13 DOI:10.7163/gpol.0260
A. Naydenov, Nikola Naumov, Desislava Varadzhakova
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Abstract

Camping tourism has become very popular since the beginning of COVID-19 as tourists started to look for socially distanced and yet experiential activities. However, the academic scholarship is relatively thin, particularly in the context of Eastern Europe – a geographical location with rich traditions in outdoor camping andtourism. Drawing on a quantitative methodology based on ARIMA and SARIMA, this study addresses this gap by forecasting the changes in camping tourism development in the short term in Bulgaria. The results indicate a decline of inbound tourism and international visittors but also suggest a positive trend of developmentfor the domestic market.
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保加利亚的露营旅游:游客需求的时间序列分析
自 COVID-19 开始以来,露营旅游已变得非常流行,因为游客开始寻求与社会保持距离但又具有体验性的活动。然而,学术研究相对较少,尤其是在东欧--一个拥有丰富户外露营和旅游传统的地理位置--的背景下。本研究利用基于 ARIMA 和 SARIMA 的定量方法,通过预测保加利亚露营旅游发展的短期变化,填补了这一空白。研究结果表明,入境旅游和国际游客人数将有所下降,但也表明国内市场将呈现积极的发展态势。
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来源期刊
Geographia Polonica
Geographia Polonica GEOGRAPHY-
CiteScore
2.40
自引率
0.00%
发文量
9
期刊最新文献
Progress in volunteer tourism research: From niche tourism curiosity to experience-based improvements Camping Tourism in Bulgaria: A time-series analysis of tourist demand The ontological and epistemological foundations of tourism geography: Chosen aspects of its empirical field of research The contribution of amber to heritage tourism development Exploring memorable gastronomic experiences: Automatic topic modelling of TripAdvisor reviews
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