Assessing the Social Costs of Mixed Transport Systems with a Dominance of Motorcycles

Tam Vu, John Preston
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Abstract

When undertaking strategic planning to identify potential options for a detailed assessment, it is important to compare the total costs of existing mixed transport systems with the introduction of different new public transport (PT) modes. Hence, this study develops a social cost model for situation of mixed transport system which has a dominance of motorcycles where a new PT technology (e.g. Bus Rapid Transit - BRT, Monorail or elevated Metro) or an exclusive bus lane is being considered. The innovative aspects of this research are to develop equations to estimate the average operating speed of each mode and to the allocation of infrastructure costs to several transport modes sharing the facilities in motorcycle dominated mixed traffic environments. Based on a four-lane per direction mixed traffic corridor in Hanoi, Vietnam, the results show the lowest average social cost (ASC) mixed transport systems for different ranges of demand. Moreover, all mixed traffic options with BRT, Monorail, elevated Metro or exclusive bus lanes are better than the existing situation in terms of ASC and it is suggested that their feasibility is examined in a detailed assessment. The mixed transport social cost model can be modified to suit other local conditions where conventional bus, car and motorcycle share facilities and a new PT mode is operated. Additionally, transport planners and decision makers in such local situations, which are particularly common in South East Asia, can draw on the findings of this study.
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评估摩托车占主导地位的混合交通系统的社会成本
在进行战略规划以确定详细评估的潜在方案时,必须比较现有混合交通系统与引入不同新公共交通(PT)模式的总成本。因此,本研究针对混合交通系统中摩托车占主导地位的情况,开发了一个社会成本模型,并考虑采用新的公共交通技术(如快速公交系统、单轨铁路或高架地铁)或公交专用道。这项研究的创新之处在于开发了估算每种交通方式平均运行速度的方程,以及在摩托车占主导地位的混合交通环境中为共享设施的几种交通方式分配基础设施成本的方程。基于越南河内一条双向四车道的混合交通走廊,研究结果表明,在不同的需求范围内,混合交通系统的平均社会成本(ASC)最低。此外,就平均社会成本而言,所有采用快速公交、单轨、高架地铁或公交专用道的混合交通方案都优于现有情况,建议对其可行性进行详细评估。混合交通社会成本模型可根据其他地方的情况进行修改,以适应传统公交、汽车和摩托车共用设施以及新的公共交通模式的运营。此外,东南亚地区的交通规划者和决策者也可借鉴本研究的结果。
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