PROGNOSTICATION THE DYNAMICS OF THE DEVELOPMENT OF ORGANIZATIONAL AND TECHNOLOGICAL SYSTEMS

Abstract

The article highlights an attempt to solve one of the most important problems of modern economic science – forecasting the creation and functioning of organizational and technological systems in domestic production. In the current military and economic conditions, the condition for the implementation of an innovative model of the development of the national economy through the functioning of organizational and technological systems in its industrial production is considered. The process of functioning of such systems consists of the continuous implementation of production cycles "money – technology – modern materials – production – sales". It is a feedback system and is described by differential equations. Non-linearity leads to the emergence of similar structures and their hierarchical construction. Since the capabilities of any organizational and technological system are limited, that is, the coupling coefficients between the output and input signals in the feedback system are proportional to the output signal, then the organizational and technological system is a nonlinear dynamic system. Such systems are described by nonlinear differential or iterative equations. It was determined that the potential income, that is, the income associated with the elimination of the monopoly of the organizational and technological system, and the real income in the free market are mutually complementary quantities (analogous to the potential and kinetic energy of a physical system). According to the principle of additionality, states in which such quantities had precisely certain values today been impossible. It follows from the above that the economy with hired labor and private property is relatively free, and the Western model cannot be considered as the only one when choosing the ways of economic development of the country. Such a model is an economy based on a market free from monopolies. It should be based on protected private property and democratic right of disposal – share-based personalized financial leasing (rent). And since nonlinear systems are characterized by cooperative behavior of their elements, it is conceivably to call this type of economy as a system of civilized cooperators, that is, market socialism.