House price bubbles under the COVID-19 pandemic

IF 2.1 2区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Journal of Empirical Finance Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI:10.1016/j.jempfin.2023.101462
Jacob H. Hansen , Stig V. Møller , Thomas Q. Pedersen , Christian M. Schütte
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Abstract

We analyze bubble formations in house prices under the COVID-19 pandemic in 382 metropolitan areas in the U.S. with a special attention to the role of population density. We use a robust sieve-bootstrap version of the right-tailed unit root test procedure to identify periods of explosiveness in price–rent ratios across metro areas when controlling for fundamentals such as mortgage debt financing costs and the wealth of households. The bubble tests reveal evidence of explosive house prices during the COVID-19 pandemic but with important cross-area differences. In contrast to earlier bubble episodes, we find that the frequency and size of bubble formations under the pandemic have been stronger in low-density metro areas compared to high-density metro areas.

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COVID-19 大流行下的房价泡沫
我们分析了美国 382 个大都市地区在 COVID-19 大流行下房价泡沫的形成,并特别关注人口密度的作用。在控制抵押贷款融资成本和家庭财富等基本面因素的情况下,我们使用稳健的筛子-bootstrap 版本的右尾单位根检验程序来确定各大都市地区房价-租金比率的爆炸性时期。泡沫检验揭示了 COVID-19 大流行期间房价爆炸的证据,但存在重要的跨地区差异。与早期的泡沫事件相比,我们发现在大流行病期间,低密度大都市地区的泡沫形成频率和规模要强于高密度大都市地区。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
3.40
自引率
3.80%
发文量
59
期刊介绍: The Journal of Empirical Finance is a financial economics journal whose aim is to publish high quality articles in empirical finance. Empirical finance is interpreted broadly to include any type of empirical work in financial economics, financial econometrics, and also theoretical work with clear empirical implications, even when there is no empirical analysis. The Journal welcomes articles in all fields of finance, such as asset pricing, corporate finance, financial econometrics, banking, international finance, microstructure, behavioural finance, etc. The Editorial Team is willing to take risks on innovative research, controversial papers, and unusual approaches. We are also particularly interested in work produced by young scholars. The composition of the editorial board reflects such goals.
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