Nuclear power, resilience, and energy security under a vulnerability-based approach

Shoki Kosai , Hironobu Unesaki
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Abstract

Although the role of nuclear power in the energy mix is being discussed from various aspects, studies on nuclear power in the energy security narrative are still limited. In this context, the role of nuclear energy in energy security is examined from a vulnerability-based approach. First, causal linkages between various terms of energy security, including vulnerability, threat, hazard, and resilience were conceptualized. Amongst these terms, we further focused on resilience and explored it from the viewpoint of its robustness, flexibility, redundancy, diversification, adaptability, and interdependency. Finally, considering these six components of resilience, nuclear power as a part of the energy supply system was analyzed in the context of energy security. This reiterated the necessity to balance the positive effect of strengthening the resilience and the negative effect of generating hazards and threats associated with nuclear power. This study is the first to discuss pros and cons of nuclear power from the perspective of its interaction with energy system in energy security. This approach differs from existing approaches in which nuclear-specified issues are alone considered in the narrative of nuclear safety. Since energy security has become an important driver of energy policy in recent years, the developed concept of nuclear power in energy security shall act as an essential stepping stone in determining its future use.

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基于脆弱性的方法下的核能、复原力和能源安全
尽管核能在能源组合中的作用正受到多方面的讨论,但有关核能在能源安全方面的研究仍然有限。在此背景下,我们从基于脆弱性的方法出发,对核能在能源安全中的作用进行了研究。首先,对能源安全的各种术语(包括脆弱性、威胁、危害和复原力)之间的因果联系进行了概念化。在这些术语中,我们进一步聚焦于复原力,并从其稳健性、灵活性、冗余性、多样化、适应性和相互依赖性的角度对其进行了探讨。最后,考虑到复原力的这六个组成部分,我们从能源安全的角度分析了作为能源供应系统一部分的核能。这重申了平衡加强抗灾能力的积极作用与产生与核能相关的危害和威胁的消极作用的必要性。本研究首次从核电与能源系统在能源安全方面相互作用的角度讨论核电的利弊。这种方法不同于现有的方法,即在叙述核安全时只考虑核特定问题。近年来,能源安全已成为能源政策的重要驱动力,因此,在能源安全中发展核电概念将成为决定核电未来用途的重要基石。
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