Economic effect evaluation and collaborative development path research of Linyi red tourism

Ling Gong
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Abstract

Linyi is rich in red tourism resources, with high quality, strong attraction, and great development potential. In recent years, the red tourism industry in Linyi has achieved significant development. Using econometric analysis models, using the Linyi red tourism development (measured by domestic income of red tourism) and regional economic growth (measured by GDP) from 2000 to 2019 as endogenous variables, a VAR model is constructed to empirically analyze the impact of red tourism development on regional economic growth. Through research, it has been found that a positive impact on the domestic and international income growth rates of Linyi's red tourism has a positive impact on the GDP growth rate, and from a trend perspective, the duration is relatively long; This indicates that the domestic and international income of Linyi's red tourism has a significant promoting effect on Linyi's economic growth. From the results of variance decomposition, it can be seen that the contribution rates of domestic and international income from Linyi's red tourism to Linyi's economic growth are not significant at first, without considering the contribution rate of Linyi's economic growth itself. However, there has been a significant growth trend since the second period. Based on the analysis of the economic effects of red tourism, considering the overall nature of Linyi's red culture, proximity to geographical location, convenient transportation, and government support, this paper analyzes the specific path for the coordinated development of Linyi's red tourism. Construct a top-level design for the coordinated development of red tourism resources from the perspectives of goal coordination, organization and interest coordination, and institutional coordination.
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临沂红色旅游经济效果评价与协同发展路径研究
临沂红色旅游资源丰富,品质高、吸引力强、发展潜力大。近年来,临沂红色旅游产业取得了长足发展。运用计量经济学分析模型,以2000-2019年临沂红色旅游发展(以红色旅游国内收入衡量)和地区经济增长(以GDP衡量)为内生变量,构建VAR模型,实证分析红色旅游发展对地区经济增长的影响。通过研究发现,临沂红色旅游国内外收入增长率对GDP增长率有正向影响,且从趋势上看,持续时间相对较长;这说明临沂红色旅游国内外收入对临沂经济增长有显著的促进作用。从方差分解的结果可以看出,在不考虑临沂经济增长本身贡献率的情况下,临沂红色旅游国内外收入对临沂经济增长的贡献率起初并不显著。但是,从第二阶段开始,临沂红色旅游收入出现了明显的增长趋势。本文在分析红色旅游经济效应的基础上,综合考虑临沂红色文化的整体性、地理位置的接近性、交通的便利性、政府的支持性等因素,分析临沂红色旅游协调发展的具体路径。从目标协调、组织与利益协调、制度协调等角度构建红色旅游资源协调发展的顶层设计。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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