Analytical Overview of the Established Demographic Theories of Fertility: Agenda for Further Advancement

IF 0.4 Q4 DEMOGRAPHY Population Review Pub Date : 2024-01-16 DOI:10.1353/prv.2024.a917414
Yuri Frantsuz
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Abstract

Abstract:

The demographic theory of fertility has interested prominent scholars for more than a century. Most recently and notably, Greenhalgh (1994), Van de Kaa (1995), de Bruijn (2006) and Leridon (2015) have dedicated their works to the analysis of the established demographic theories. They have provided a typology and analysis of demographic theories of fertility and illuminated many components of the latter, including the logic of theories’ development and evolution, their multidisciplinary nature and their “anchors” in the existing body of knowledge in their respective broader fields. Still, scholars acknowledge … “we still have no universally accepted explanation for why the Western post-war baby boom occurred, and why it ended. Nor do we have any clear idea of how fertility will evolve in countries where it is currently below replacement level. Homo demographicus is yet to be born…” (Leridon, 2015). The proposed agenda for advancing demographic theories include linking them to their predecessors in social sciences, analyzing them from the theory construction standpoint, providing distinctions between several branches of each of these theories, and outlining a strategy for the integration of compatible parts of these theories.

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对已确立的生育率人口理论的分析概述:进一步发展议程
摘要:一个多世纪以来,生育率的人口理论一直是著名学者们感兴趣的问题。最近,格林哈尔赫(1994 年)、范德卡(1995 年)、德布鲁因(2006 年)和莱里顿(2015 年)等人专门对已有的人口理论进行了分析,其中最引人注目的是格林哈尔赫(1994 年)、范德卡(1995 年)、德布鲁因(2006 年)和莱里顿(2015 年)。他们对生育率的人口学理论进行了分类和分析,并阐明了后者的许多组成部分,包括理论发展和演变的逻辑、其多学科性质及其在各自更广泛领域的现有知识体系中的 "锚点"。尽管如此,学者们承认...... "对于西方战后婴儿潮为何出现以及为何结束,我们仍然没有公认的解释。我们也不清楚目前生育率低于更替水平的国家的生育率将如何演变。人口智人尚未诞生......"(Leridon,2015 年)。推进人口学理论的拟议议程包括:将这些理论与社会科学中的前人联系起来,从理论构建的角度对其进行分析,对每种理论的若干分支进行区分,并概述整合这些理论中兼容部分的战略。
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来源期刊
Population Review
Population Review DEMOGRAPHY-
CiteScore
1.30
自引率
14.30%
发文量
3
期刊介绍: Population Review publishes scholarly research that covers a broad range of social science disciplines, including demography, sociology, social anthropology, socioenvironmental science, communication, and political science. The journal emphasizes empirical research and strives to advance knowledge on the interrelationships between demography and sociology. The editor welcomes submissions that combine theory with solid empirical research. Articles that are of general interest to population specialists are also desired. International in scope, the journal’s focus is not limited by geography. Submissions are encouraged from scholars in both the developing and developed world. Population Review publishes original articles and book reviews. Content is published online immediately after acceptance.
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