Understanding spatial tourism destination recovery in Iran based on a destination attribute recovery index for COVID-19

IF 2.6 3区管理学 Q3 MANAGEMENT Journal of Contingencies and Crisis Management Pub Date : 2024-01-19 DOI:10.1111/1468-5973.12536

Mehdi Hajilo, Lori Pennington-Gray, Siamak Tahmasbi, Siavash I. Gheshlagh

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Abstract

Throughout history, the tourism industry has encountered diverse crises, each with its distinct characteristics. While the nature of these crises may evolve, the inevitability of their occurrence persists. Given the unpredictability of such events, understanding recovery factors for tourism destinations becomes crucial for swift recuperation. This study employed a destination recovery measurement model, visualised through Geographic Information System and GeoDA, focusing on Iran's 31 provinces. Indicators including tourism density, capacity, investment, accommodation, employment rate and destination type, in conjunction with COVID-19 cases, were utilised to gauge recovery status. The spatial distribution of the destination recovery index was analysed, revealing nonrandom cluster patterns, affirming that recovery is influenced by specific factors rather than occurring haphazardly. Provinces equipped with higher-factor concentrations demonstrated swifter recovery, while others exhibited less tourism-related prominence. These findings hold significance for stakeholders encompassing tourism managers, policymakers and governments vested in the sustainability of future tourism destinations.

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基于 COVID-19 的目的地属性恢复指数了解伊朗的空间旅游目的地恢复情况

纵观历史，旅游业遇到过各种各样的危机，每种危机都有其鲜明的特点。虽然这些危机的性质可能会发生变化，但其发生的必然性却始终存在。鉴于此类事件的不可预测性，了解旅游目的地的恢复因素对于迅速恢复至关重要。本研究采用了目的地恢复测量模型，通过地理信息系统和 GeoDA 实现可视化，重点关注伊朗的 31 个省份。包括旅游密度、容量、投资、住宿、就业率和目的地类型在内的指标与 COVID-19 案例相结合，用于衡量恢复状况。对目的地恢复指数的空间分布进行了分析，揭示了非随机的群集模式，肯定了恢复是受特定因素影响的，而不是随意发生的。因素集中度较高的省份恢复较快，而其他省份与旅游业相关的因素较少。这些发现对旅游业管理者、政策制定者和政府等利益相关者具有重要意义，他们都希望未来的旅游目的地能够可持续发展。

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来源期刊

Journal of Contingencies and Crisis Management MANAGEMENT-

CiteScore

5.40

自引率

12.90%

发文量

期刊介绍： The Journal of Contingencies and Crisis Management is an invaluable source of information on all aspects of contingency planning, scenario analysis and crisis management in both corporate and public sectors. It focuses on the opportunities and threats facing organizations and presents analysis and case studies of crisis prevention, crisis planning, recovery and turnaround management. With contributions from world-wide sources including corporations, governmental agencies, think tanks and influential academics, this publication provides a vital platform for the exchange of strategic and operational experience, information and knowledge.