ZOHAIR ALAM, ADRIAN ALTER, JESSE EISEMAN, GASTON GELOS, HEEDON KANG, MACHIKO NARITA, ERLEND NIER, NAIXI WANG
{"title":"Digging Deeper—Evidence on the Effects of Macroprudential Policies from a New Database","authors":"ZOHAIR ALAM, ADRIAN ALTER, JESSE EISEMAN, GASTON GELOS, HEEDON KANG, MACHIKO NARITA, ERLEND NIER, NAIXI WANG","doi":"10.1111/jmcb.13130","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"This paper introduces a comprehensive database of macroprudential policies, which covers 134 countries from January 1990. Using a novel numerical indicator of the tightness of loan-to-value (LTV) regulations, we estimate the policy effects of incremental tightening in LTV limits, employing a propensity score–based method to address endogeneity concerns. The results point to economically significant and nonlinear effects on household credit, with a declining per-unit impact for larger tightening measures. The analysis indicates that policy leakage effects could be a factor behind the nonlinear effects. We finally find that the side effects of macroprudential policies on consumption and output are relatively small.","PeriodicalId":48328,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Money Credit and Banking","volume":"213 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.2000,"publicationDate":"2024-01-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Journal of Money Credit and Banking","FirstCategoryId":"96","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1111/jmcb.13130","RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"BUSINESS, FINANCE","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
This paper introduces a comprehensive database of macroprudential policies, which covers 134 countries from January 1990. Using a novel numerical indicator of the tightness of loan-to-value (LTV) regulations, we estimate the policy effects of incremental tightening in LTV limits, employing a propensity score–based method to address endogeneity concerns. The results point to economically significant and nonlinear effects on household credit, with a declining per-unit impact for larger tightening measures. The analysis indicates that policy leakage effects could be a factor behind the nonlinear effects. We finally find that the side effects of macroprudential policies on consumption and output are relatively small.