Leaders in the United Nations General Assembly: Revitalization or politicization?

Alexander Baturo, Julia Gray
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Abstract

How do leaders address the world in service of international cooperation, and do their messages enhance or detract from the global agenda? Leaders increasingly appear at the United Nations General Assembly (UNGA), a deliberative forum meant for diplomacy, not politics. At the same time, the UNGA has long undergone revitalization efforts, and leaders’ contributions could potentially ensure more meaningful cooperation. Building on theories of leader communication, we argue that, in contrast to other country representatives, heads of state have more leeway to deviate from the assembly’s priorities; as politicians, they have incentives to discuss their own, more particularistic, topics. Drawing from novel data on leaders’ speeches in the UNGA, we use text analytics to show that leaders tend to depart from the policy agenda of the session. Furthermore, national political leaders speak more plainly, centering speech on themselves and departing from the general conventions of diplomatic debate. This suggests that, while leaders’ attendance potentially generates more publicity and visibility for the UNGA, their contributions may also undermine the general debate. Our findings shed light on the ways in which leaders can politicize mulitlateral cooperation, and we give evidence for the role of individuals in the vitality of international organizations.

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联合国大会的领导人:振兴还是政治化?
为促进国际合作,领导人如何向世界发表讲话?他们的讲话是加强还是削弱了全球议程?各国领导人越来越多地出现在联合国大会(UNGA)上,这是一个为外交而非政治而设的议事论坛。同时,联合国大会长期以来一直在努力振兴,领导人的贡献有可能确保更有意义的合作。在领导人沟通理论的基础上,我们认为,与其他国家代表相比,国家元首有更大的余地偏离大会的优先事项;作为政治家,他们有动力讨论自己的、更加特殊的话题。我们利用有关领导人在联大发言的新数据,通过文本分析表明,领导人倾向于偏离会议的政策议程。此外,国家政治领导人的发言更加直白,以自己为中心,偏离了外交辩论的一般惯例。这表明,虽然领导人的出席可能会为联大带来更多的宣传和知名度,但他们的发言也可能会破坏一般性辩论。我们的研究结果揭示了领导人将多边合作政治化的方式,并为个人在国际组织活力中的作用提供了证据。
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