On the heterogeneous trade and welfare effects of GATT/WTO membership

IF 16.4 1区 化学 Q1 CHEMISTRY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Accounts of Chemical Research Pub Date : 2024-01-28 DOI:10.1007/s10290-023-00520-6
Gabriel Felbermayr, Mario Larch, Erdal Yalcin, Yoto V. Yotov
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Abstract

We quantify the effects of GATT/WTO membership on trade and welfare. Using an extensive database covering manufacturing trade for 186 countries over the period 1980–2016, we find that the average partial equilibrium impact of GATT/WTO membership on trade among member countries is large, positive, and significant. We contribute to the literature by estimating country-specific estimates and find them to vary widely across the countries in our sample with poorer members benefitting more. Using these estimates, we simulate the general equilibrium effects of GATT/WTO on welfare, which are sizable and heterogeneous across members. We show that countries not experiencing positive trade effects from joining GATT/WTO can still gain in terms of welfare, due to lower import prices and higher export demand.

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关于加入关贸总协定/世贸组织对贸易和福利的不同影响
我们量化了关贸总协定/世贸组织成员资格对贸易和福利的影响。通过使用一个涵盖 1980-2016 年间 186 个国家制造业贸易的广泛数据库,我们发现关贸总协定/世贸组织成员资格对成员国贸易的平均局部均衡影响是巨大、积极和显著的。我们通过估算特定国家的估算值,发现样本中各国的估算值差异很大,较贫穷的成员国受益更多,从而为相关文献做出了贡献。利用这些估计值,我们模拟了关贸总协定/世贸组织对福利的一般均衡效应,这些效应在各成员国之间是可观的,而且是异质的。我们表明,由于进口价格下降和出口需求增加,加入关贸总协定/世贸组织后未产生积极贸易效应的国家仍能在福利方面获益。
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来源期刊
Accounts of Chemical Research
Accounts of Chemical Research 化学-化学综合
CiteScore
31.40
自引率
1.10%
发文量
312
审稿时长
2 months
期刊介绍: Accounts of Chemical Research presents short, concise and critical articles offering easy-to-read overviews of basic research and applications in all areas of chemistry and biochemistry. These short reviews focus on research from the author’s own laboratory and are designed to teach the reader about a research project. In addition, Accounts of Chemical Research publishes commentaries that give an informed opinion on a current research problem. Special Issues online are devoted to a single topic of unusual activity and significance. Accounts of Chemical Research replaces the traditional article abstract with an article "Conspectus." These entries synopsize the research affording the reader a closer look at the content and significance of an article. Through this provision of a more detailed description of the article contents, the Conspectus enhances the article's discoverability by search engines and the exposure for the research.
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