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Gravity and trade in video on demand services 视频点播服务的引力和贸易
IF 1.7 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-09-12 DOI: 10.1007/s10290-024-00561-5
Annette Broocks, Zuzanna Studnicka

Over the last decade, online video consumption has become one of the primary uses of the internet, with streaming services accounting for more than 65% of global internet traffic. In this paper, we use a novel data set on Netflix, the largest streaming platform worldwide, to estimate the patterns of catalogue availability (extensive margin) and the number of clicks per title (intensive margin) across twenty countries. This data set also gives us a unique opportunity to estimate the importance of quality in viewing patterns. Our results show evidence of the gravity framework explaining both margins of Netflix watching. In addition, we find that viewers have a preference for domestic content, better-rated titles, and Netflix Original foreign productions. These insights suggest that as Netflix continues to expand its content library, it will further leverage its streaming dominance in reaching viewers and promoting specific content.

过去十年间,在线视频消费已成为互联网的主要用途之一,流媒体服务占全球互联网流量的 65% 以上。在本文中,我们使用全球最大的流媒体平台 Netflix 的新数据集来估算 20 个国家的目录可用性模式(广泛边际)和每个标题的点击次数(密集边际)。该数据集还为我们提供了一个独特的机会,以估算质量在观看模式中的重要性。我们的研究结果表明,引力框架可以解释 Netflix 观看模式的两个边际。此外,我们还发现,观众偏好国内内容、评分较高的作品以及 Netflix 原创的外国作品。这些见解表明,随着 Netflix 不断扩大其内容库,它将进一步利用其在流媒体领域的优势来接触观众并推广特定内容。
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引用次数: 0
Patterns of global and regional integration in the East African Community 东非共同体的全球和地区一体化模式
IF 1.7 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-09-11 DOI: 10.1007/s10290-024-00558-0
Sebastian Krantz

Using detailed global trade and novel Multi-Region Input–Output data, this paper examines the East African Community’s (EAC) global and regional integration through trade, global, and regional value chains (GVCs and RVCs). With surgical attention to detail, the first part of the paper dissects key patterns and trends of EAC members’ participation in global and regional trade and production networks at the aggregate, bilateral, sectoral, and bilateral-sectoral levels. The second part then provides causal reduced-form evidence for the economic benefits of EAC integration through trade, GVCs, and RVCs at the sector level. Findings imply that the region is moderately integrated into GVCs and RCVs but shows no overall trend towards greater integration. Regional integration is advancing in agriculture and food processing, and Kenya is becoming a more dominant regional supplier of manufactures. Integration through trade and GVCs positively affects economic development in the region, particularly deeper forward GVC linkages in manufacturing. Deepening regional trade and forward linkages yields additional economic benefits vis-a-vis global linkages.

本文利用详细的全球贸易和新颖的多地区投入产出数据,通过贸易、全球和地区价值链(GVCs 和 RVCs)研究了东非共同体(EAC)的全球和地区一体化。本文的第一部分非常注重细节,从总体、双边、部门和双边-部门层面剖析了东非共同体成员参与全球和地区贸易及生产网络的主要模式和趋势。然后,第二部分通过部门层面的贸易、全球价值链和区域价值链,提供了东非共同体一体化经济效益的因果还原形式证据。研究结果表明,该地区适度融入了全球价值链和区域价值链,但没有显示出进一步一体化的总体趋势。农业和食品加工领域的区域一体化正在推进,肯尼亚正在成为一个更具主导地位的区域制成品供应国。通过贸易和全球价值链实现的一体化对该地区的经济发展产生了积极影响,特别是在制造业方面加深了全球价值链的前向联系。与全球联系相比,深化区域贸易和前向联系可产生额外的经济效益。
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引用次数: 0
The evolution of manufacturing comparative advantage along global value chains: the amplifying role of logistics performance 全球价值链上制造业比较优势的演变:物流绩效的放大作用
IF 1.7 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-09-07 DOI: 10.1007/s10290-024-00560-6
Lei Yang, Qianli Dong, Ziqiang Tong, Qiuling Wang, Jiani Wu, Lili Wang

This paper examines the evolution of manufacturing comparative advantage within the context of Global Value Chains (GVCs) and explores the amplifying role of logistics performance in this evolution. We employ a framework that transitions from the Product Space at the product level to the Industry Space at the industry level, utilising value-added exports instead of gross exports. Through empirical analysis, we confirm the inter-industry network effect (measured by industry density) on manufacturing comparative advantage along GVCs. Additionally, we investigate the logistics performance index (LPI) as a moderator, shedding light on its crucial role in the evolution mechanism. Furthermore, we identify heterogeneity among different economies in terms of the amplifying effect of LPI on the evolution pattern of manufacturing comparative advantage, which can be attributed to significant differences in industry structure between developed and developing economies operating within GVCs.

本文研究了全球价值链(GVC)背景下制造业比较优势的演变,并探讨了物流绩效在这一演变中的放大作用。我们采用的框架是从产品层面的产品空间过渡到行业层面的行业空间,利用的是增值出口而非出口总额。通过实证分析,我们证实了行业间网络效应(以行业密度衡量)对全球价值链上制造业比较优势的影响。此外,我们还研究了作为调节因素的物流绩效指数(LPI),揭示了其在演化机制中的关键作用。此外,我们还发现不同经济体在物流绩效指数对制造业比较优势演化模式的放大效应方面存在异质性,这可归因于在全球价值链内运行的发达经济体和发展中经济体在产业结构上的显著差异。
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引用次数: 0
Trade, productivity, and services input intensity 贸易、生产力和服务投入强度
IF 1.7 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-07-30 DOI: 10.1007/s10290-024-00548-2
Bernard Hoekman, Marco Sanfilippo, Filippo Santi, Rohit Ticku

Using rich administrative microdata on Ugandan firms, we investigate the response of productivity to trade participation for firms in all sectors of the economy, and the moderating role of services input intensity. We find that companies that participate in trade, especially through importing, display a productivity premium. Firms that export are more productive only for a sub-sample spanning the manufacturing sector. We do not find evidence that using service inputs more intensively enhances the relationship between trade participation and firm productivity. Rather, we find some evidence that a higher share of spending on services inputs attenuates the positive relationship between trade status and productivity. This suggests that the quality of available services may not be up to the standard required to be internationally competitive.

我们利用丰富的乌干达企业行政微观数据,研究了所有经济部门的企业生产率对贸易参与的反应,以及服务投入强度的调节作用。我们发现,参与贸易,尤其是通过进口参与贸易的公司显示出生产率溢价。只有在制造业的子样本中,出口企业的生产率更高。我们没有发现证据表明,更密集地使用服务投入会增强贸易参与与企业生产率之间的关系。相反,我们发现一些证据表明,服务投入的支出比例越高,贸易地位与生产率之间的正相关关系就越弱。这表明,现有服务的质量可能没有达到具有国际竞争力所需的标准。
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引用次数: 0
Do investors reward sovereign catastrophe bond issuance? Evidence from a panel of 26 disaster-prone countries 投资者会奖励主权巨灾债券的发行吗?来自 26 个易受灾害影响国家小组的证据
IF 1.7 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-07-30 DOI: 10.1007/s10290-024-00557-1
Raluca Maran

There is extensive evidence in the literature that countries confronted with higher exposure to natural disasters are faced with higher sovereign borrowing costs, as investors request a risk premium to offset disaster risk. On the other hand, market participants may salute efforts by governments to reduce their financial exposure to natural disaster events. This paper makes several contributions to the existing literature. It is the first to investigate whether investors view disaster-prone countries more favorably when they issue sovereign catastrophe (CAT) bonds as a means to mitigate the risks associated with natural catastrophes. Through the use of a feasible generalized least squares model and data from 26 countries spanning from 2000 to 2022, I find that the issuance of sovereign CAT bonds leads to a reduction in long-term sovereign bond yields ranging from 0.79 to 1.88 percentage points on average depending on the model specification used. Furthermore, partitioning the sample into OECD and non-OECD members reveals that the magnitude of this impact is more pronounced in the former group. Additionally, issuing CAT bonds is shown to compress the spread between yields on 10-year sovereign bonds and 3-month Treasury bills by an average of 1.98 percentage points. Other important findings are that the effects of CAT bond issuance are heightened in countries with more developed financial markets and higher levels of carbon dioxide emissions.

文献中有大量证据表明,自然灾害风险较高的国家面临着较高的主权借贷成本,因为投资者需要风险溢价来抵消灾害风险。另一方面,市场参与者可能会对政府为降低自然灾害事件的金融风险所做的努力表示敬意。本文对现有文献做出了多项贡献。本文首次研究了当灾害频发国家发行主权巨灾(CAT)债券作为减轻自然灾害相关风险的一种手段时,投资者是否会更青睐这些国家。通过使用可行的广义最小二乘法模型和 2000 年至 2022 年 26 个国家的数据,我发现发行主权 CAT 债券会导致长期主权债券收益率平均下降 0.79 至 1.88 个百分点,具体取决于所使用的模型规格。此外,将样本划分为经合组织成员国和非经合组织成员国后发现,前者的影响幅度更为明显。此外,发行 CAT 债券可将 10 年期主权债券收益率与 3 个月国库券收益率之间的利差平均压缩 1.98 个百分点。其他重要发现是,在金融市场更发达、二氧化碳排放水平更高的国家,CAT 债券发行的影响更大。
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引用次数: 0
The impact of natural disasters on US business credit markets: a comparative analysis of short-term and long-duration events 自然灾害对美国商业信贷市场的影响:短期和长期事件的比较分析
IF 1.7 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-07-28 DOI: 10.1007/s10290-024-00554-4
Capucine Nobletz

This paper examines the impact of severe natural disasters on the US corporate credit market, highlighting the different responses to short-term versus long-term disasters. Using Jordá local projections, our analysis shows that short-term disasters, such as severe storms and tropical cyclones, increase the probability of corporate defaults without causing significant financial tightening by institutional investors. In contrast, long-term disasters, such as droughts and wildfires, lead to increased corporate default risks and financial tightening. This difference in investor reactions can be attributed to the greater uncertainty about the financial health of firms caused by long-term disasters compared to short-term disasters. The damage from long-term disasters is spread over time and can last for years, making them less adequately covered by insurance and less likely to receive timely government aid than short-term hazards. These findings underscore the need for comprehensive insurance products for long-term catastrophes and increased government support for long-term recovery efforts.

本文研究了严重自然灾害对美国企业信贷市场的影响,强调了短期与长期灾害的不同反应。利用 Jordá 的本地预测,我们的分析表明,短期灾害(如强风暴和热带气旋)会增加企业违约的概率,但不会导致机构投资者大幅收紧资金。相比之下,干旱和野火等长期灾害会导致企业违约风险增加和金融紧缩。投资者反应的这种差异可归因于长期灾害与短期灾害相比,对企业财务健康状况的不确定性更大。长期灾害造成的损失会随着时间的推移而扩散,并可能持续数年之久,因此与短期灾害相比,长期灾害的保险覆盖面较小,也更不可能得到政府的及时援助。这些调查结果表明,有必要为长期灾害提供全面的保险产品,并增加政府对长期恢复工作的支持。
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引用次数: 0
Do former employees of foreign MNEs boost incumbent workers’ wages in domestic firms? 外国跨国企业的前雇员是否会提高国内企业在职员工的工资?
IF 1.7 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-07-28 DOI: 10.1007/s10290-024-00552-6
Eoin T. Flaherty

This paper examines whether there are wage spillovers from workers with experience in foreign multinational enterprises (MNEs) to incumbent workers in domestic firms. Using administrative panel data from Ireland, I examine possible heterogeneity for such spillovers across the wage distribution using quantile regressions. I begin by using existing methodology and find that, once industry-year and region-year dummies are added as control variables, the average wage spillover effect on incumbents from former foreign MNE workers moving to domestic firms disappears. Quantile regression results suggest that there are positive spillovers for incumbent workers in the top 50% of the wage distribution only. This indicates that foreign MNEs increase inequality through spillovers to domestic firms via labour mobility.

本文研究了在外国跨国企业(MNE)工作过的工人是否会对国内企业的在职员工产生工资溢出效应。我利用爱尔兰的行政面板数据,通过量子回归法研究了这种溢出效应在工资分布中可能存在的异质性。我从现有方法入手,发现一旦加入行业年和地区年虚拟变量作为控制变量,前外资跨国企业员工转入国内企业对在职员工的平均工资溢出效应就会消失。量子回归结果表明,只有工资分布前 50%的在职员工的工资溢出效应为正。这表明,外国跨国企业通过劳动力流动对国内企业的溢出效应增加了不平等。
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引用次数: 0
“When you need it quick, let us ship it right”: on the importance of port efficiency and service quality to comply with food trade standards in Ghana "当你需要快速运输时,让我们来正确运输":港口效率和服务质量对遵守加纳食品贸易标准的重要性
IF 1.7 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-07-28 DOI: 10.1007/s10290-024-00549-1
Lukas Kornher, Daniel Sakyi, Linus Linnaeus Tannor

Agricultural exports are especially important because of their great potential for poverty reduction among smallholder farmers. However, many African countries, such as Ghana, fail to realize their full export potential due to institutional and technical constraints. This paper examines the importance of port efficiency and service quality in complying with food trade standards in Ghana. We provide a stylized theoretical model in which exporting firms are willing to pay for improved port service quality as long as the marginal revenue derived from a reduced likelihood of (border) rejection exceeds the marginal costs for improved service quality. We test the model’s predictions using primary data from 120 agri-food exporters in Ghana. Our results show that about two-thirds of exporting firms have a positive willingness-to-pay for a reduction in the handling time at the port and the risk of spoilage due to inadequate handling. These findings emphasize the importance of trade facilitation measures in improving port efficiency and service quality to accelerate agricultural exports.

农产品出口尤为重要,因为它具有减少小农贫困的巨大潜力。然而,由于体制和技术方面的限制,许多非洲国家(如加纳)未能充分发挥其出口潜力。本文探讨了港口效率和服务质量对加纳遵守食品贸易标准的重要性。我们提供了一个风格化的理论模型,在该模型中,只要降低(边境)拒收可能性带来的边际收益超过提高服务质量的边际成本,出口企业就愿意为提高港口服务质量付费。我们利用加纳 120 家农业食品出口商的原始数据对该模型的预测进行了检验。我们的结果表明,约三分之二的出口企业愿意为减少港口装卸时间和因装卸不当而导致的变质风险付出积极的代价。这些发现强调了贸易便利化措施在提高港口效率和服务质量以加快农产品出口方面的重要性。
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引用次数: 0
On deep trade agreements, institutions, and global value chains: evidence from Egypt 关于深度贸易协定、机构和全球价值链:来自埃及的证据
IF 1.7 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-07-27 DOI: 10.1007/s10290-024-00546-4
Fatma Aly, Chahir Zaki

This paper investigates the nexus between deep trade agreements, institutional quality, and global value chains (GVCs) in Egypt. Indeed, the enforcement of deep trade agreements requires good institutions to boost GVCs. Applying a Poisson Pseudo-Maximum Likelihood (PPML) estimator to control for heteroscedasticity and zero trade flows, we use bilateral and sectoral data on Egypt’s exported Foreign Value-Added (FVA) from the Eora dataset and merge it with the Deep Trade Agreement Dataset (World Bank). The findings of the paper support the positive relationship between the depth of trade agreements and GVCs at the aggregate level. In addition, differences in the quality of institutions reduce this positive effect. However, the sectoral analysis revealed a lot of heterogeneity across different sectors. Comparing the coefficients of trade agreements for different periods, one can conclude that GVC linkages in human-capital and technology intensive products have started to respond to deep trade agreements, pointing out the agreement depth matters for exports upgrading. The results remain robust after we control for the endogeneity between GVC and the depth of trade agreements and after we use alternative measures for institutions and for the agreement depth. From a policy perspective, this paper highlights the importance of deepening agreements and improving the quality of institutions to increase the participation of African countries, including Egypt in GVCs.

本文研究了埃及的深度贸易协定、制度质量和全球价值链之间的关系。事实上,深度贸易协定的实施需要良好的制度来促进全球价值链的发展。为了控制异方差和零贸易流量,我们采用了泊松伪极大似然估计法(PPML),使用了 Eora 数据集中关于埃及出口外国附加值(FVA)的双边和部门数据,并将其与深度贸易协定数据集(世界银行)合并。本文的研究结果支持贸易协定深度与全球价值链在总体水平上的正相关关系。此外,机构质量的差异也降低了这种正效应。然而,部门分析表明,不同部门之间存在很多异质性。比较不同时期贸易协定的系数,可以得出结论,人力资本和技术密集型产品的全球价值链联系已开始对深度贸易协定做出反应,这表明协定深度对出口升级很重要。在我们控制了全球价值链与贸易协定深度之间的内生性之后,以及在我们使用了机构和协定深度的替代衡量标准之后,结果仍然是稳健的。从政策角度来看,本文强调了深化协定和提高机构质量对于提高包括埃及在内的非洲国家在全球价值链中的参与度的重要性。
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引用次数: 0
Global value chains and aggregate productivity growth in developing countries: the role of intra-sectoral allocation and structural change 发展中国家的全球价值链和总体生产力增长:部门内分配和结构变革的作用
IF 1.5 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-07-20 DOI: 10.1007/s10290-024-00550-8
Solomon Owusu
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引用次数: 0
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Review of World Economics
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