Software for Investigating the Relationship between Hydrogeochemical Earthquake Precursors and Planetary Period

IF 0.7 4区 计算机科学 Q4 COMPUTER SCIENCE, SOFTWARE ENGINEERING Programming and Computer Software Pub Date : 2024-01-26 DOI:10.1134/s0361768823090050
A. E. Kazarian, H. A. Kazarian
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Abstract

Prediction of earthquakes has long been one of the unsolved problems in seismology. The significance of this issue for the local population cannot be overstated. The entire republic is located within a high seismic risk zone. According to a recent study, strong earthquakes in this territory have a close relationship to planetary cycles. Using histograms of seismic event distribution, these connections are revealed for diurnal and lunar periods. To investigate the link, a method and tool for spatial and temporal monitoring of these processes was developed, integrating GIS data for active tectonic faults, seismic events, and planetary positions of the Sun and Moon. According to the study, most of the strongest earthquakes in the region occur during full or new moon periods. The nature of this phenomenon, however, is unclear. A study of the chemical composition of underground water during the Spitak 1988 earthquake reveals that it changes 4.5 months before the earthquake. The same thing happens before all the region’s strong earthquakes. This phenomenon has been named “geochemical quiescence,” and it has resulted in the discovery of stable earthquake precursors in the region. The time series of water chemical composition data obtained during the study shows that the mean of the series remains constant, but the standard deviation of the data changes. However, more sophisticated software is required to obtain a more accurate picture of seismic fault activation and its reliance on planetary cycles. More accurate solar system modeling, including the ability to switch between Geocentric and Heliocentric planetary systems, as well as visualization of tectonic fault position at any given time, will aid in understanding earthquake focal mechanism dependencies on planetary forces.

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研究水文地球化学地震前兆与行星周期之间关系的软件
摘要 长期以来,地震预测一直是地震学中尚未解决的问题之一。这个问题对当地居民的重要性怎么强调都不为过。整个共和国都位于地震高风险区。根据最近的一项研究,该地区的强震与行星周期关系密切。利用地震事件分布柱状图,可以发现昼夜周期和月相周期之间的联系。为了研究这种联系,开发了一种对这些过程进行空间和时间监测的方法和工具,整合了有关活动构造断层、地震事件以及太阳和月球行星位置的地理信息系统数据。根据这项研究,该地区最强烈的地震大多发生在满月或新月期间。然而,这一现象的本质尚不清楚。对 1988 年斯皮塔克地震期间地下水化学成分的研究表明,地下水在地震前 4.5 个月就发生了变化。该地区所有强震发生前都会发生同样的情况。这种现象被命名为 "地球化学静止",它导致在该地区发现了稳定的地震前兆。研究期间获得的水化学成分数据时间序列显示,序列的平均值保持不变,但数据的标准偏差发生了变化。不过,要更准确地了解地震断层的激活及其对行星周期的依赖,还需要更复杂的软件。更精确的太阳系建模,包括在地心和日心行星系统之间切换的能力,以及在任何给定时间构造断层位置的可视化,将有助于理解地震焦点机制对行星力的依赖。
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来源期刊
Programming and Computer Software
Programming and Computer Software 工程技术-计算机:软件工程
CiteScore
1.60
自引率
28.60%
发文量
35
审稿时长
>12 weeks
期刊介绍: Programming and Computer Software is a peer reviewed journal devoted to problems in all areas of computer science: operating systems, compiler technology, software engineering, artificial intelligence, etc.
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