ECB monetary policy communication events: Do they move euro area yields?

IF 0.8 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Bulletin of Economic Research Pub Date : 2024-01-29 DOI:10.1111/boer.12439
Linas Jurkšas, Rokas Kaminskas, Deimantė Vasiliauskaitė
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Abstract

This study aims to determine and compare the impact of four different types of European Central Bank (ECB) monetary policy communication events on euro area sovereign yields on an intraday basis since 2014. Our paper distinguishes it from similar studies in that we analyze a broad range of ECB communication types. The results reveal that ECB decisions and press conferences have the most substantial intraday impact on normalized sovereign yields while the impact of speeches and accounts appears to be much weaker. Countries with the highest debt levels (such as Italy, Spain, and France) experienced the most robust changes in fiscal costs, while the period encompassing the economic shock induced by the Covid-19 pandemic shows weaker effects.

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欧洲央行货币政策沟通活动:它们会影响欧元区收益率吗?
本研究旨在确定并比较自 2014 年以来四种不同类型的欧洲中央银行(ECB)货币政策沟通事件对欧元区主权收益率的影响。我们的论文有别于类似的研究,因为我们分析了广泛的欧洲央行沟通类型。结果显示,欧洲央行决议和新闻发布会对正常化主权收益率的日内影响最大,而讲话和账户的影响似乎要弱得多。债务水平最高的国家(如意大利、西班牙和法国)在财政成本方面经历了最强劲的变化,而包含由 Covid-19 大流行病引发的经济冲击的时期则显示出较弱的影响。
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CiteScore
1.40
自引率
0.00%
发文量
56
期刊介绍: The Bulletin of Economic Research is an international journal publishing articles across the entire field of economics, econometrics and economic history. The Bulletin contains original theoretical, applied and empirical work which makes a substantial contribution to the subject and is of broad interest to economists. We welcome submissions in all fields and, with the Bulletin expanding in new areas, we particularly encourage submissions in the fields of experimental economics, financial econometrics and health economics. In addition to full-length articles the Bulletin publishes refereed shorter articles, notes and comments; authoritative survey articles in all areas of economics and special themed issues.
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