Have Precious Metals Lost Their Protective Powers During COVID-19 and the Russia-Ukraine War?

Idris A. Adediran, Y. O. Adegoke, Abdulfatai Salawudeen
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Abstract

We reassess the inflation-hedging potentials of precious metals during the COVID-19 and Russia-Ukraine war periods and document findings for some advanced and emerging markets. We adopt the dynamic panel threshold regression model and account for the policy rates of the economies in the analyses. We find that while gold retained its protective powers, the reverse was the case for silver during the pandemic and the war in Ukraine. We offer a suggestion for investors and recommend that related studies take account of the monetary policy environment of the markets.
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贵金属是否在 COVID-19 和俄乌战争期间失去了保护作用?
我们重新评估了贵金属在 COVID-19 和俄乌战争期间对冲通胀的潜力,并记录了一些发达市场和新兴市场的研究结果。我们采用了动态面板阈值回归模型,并在分析中考虑了经济体的政策利率。我们发现,在大流行病和乌克兰战争期间,黄金保持了其保护能力,而白银的情况恰恰相反。我们为投资者提供了一个建议,并建议相关研究考虑市场的货币政策环境。
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