Firm financial performance in the wake of political turmoil; whether political connection is propitious?

Adnan Ullah Khan, Athar Iqbal
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Abstract

Purpose This study aims to investigate the effect of political turmoil on the firm financial performance, particularly in presence of politically affiliated board of directors. Design/methodology/approach The study applied panel regression analyses on a data set of Pakistan’s listed companies ranged over 14 years, spanning from 2007 to 2021. Political turmoil was first gauged through three determinants, i.e. political protest, government election and constitutional reform, and thereafter, economic uncertainty index was used as a proxy for political turmoil. For the purpose of political connection, the study used political affiliation of the board of directors. Findings The study finds that political turmoil has deleterious effect on the return on assets and Tobin’s Q. The study further unveils that politically affiliated firms are relatively insulated from the volatility posed by the political uncertainty and exhibit significantly better financial outcomes. Practical implications Findings of the study suggest that appropriate composition of the board is imperative in offsetting the risk posed by the political turmoil. Hence, the results are useful for investors, policymakers and regulators to ensure financial soundness of firms in the wake of political turmoil. Originality/value To the best of the authors’ knowledge, this is the first study that investigates the moderating impact of political connection on the performance of companies in presence of political turmoil.
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政治动荡后的公司财务表现;政治联系是否是有利因素?
本研究旨在探讨政治动荡对公司财务绩效的影响,尤其是在董事会存在政治关联的情况下。本研究对巴基斯坦上市公司的数据集进行了面板回归分析,时间跨度从 2007 年到 2021 年,历时 14 年。首先通过政治抗议、政府选举和宪法改革这三个决定因素来衡量政治动荡,然后使用经济不确定性指数作为政治动荡的替代变量。研究结果研究发现,政治动荡会对资产回报率和托宾 Q 值产生不利影响。研究进一步揭示,有政治关联的公司相对不受政治不确定性带来的波动影响,并表现出明显更好的财务结果。因此,研究结果对投资者、政策制定者和监管者确保公司在政治动荡后的财务稳健性很有帮助。 原创性/价值 据作者所知,这是第一项调查政治关联对政治动荡下公司业绩的调节作用的研究。
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