Generation of harmonised pluvial flood hazard maps through decentralised analytics

Sascha Welten, Adrian Holt, Julian Hofmann, Sven Weber, Elena-Maria Klopries, Holger Schüttrumpf, Stefan Decker
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Abstract

Increasing extreme weather events pose significant challenges in hydrology, requiring tools for preparedness and prediction of intense rainfall impacts, especially flash floods. Current risk reduction measures for pluvial flood risk management rely on flood hazard maps, but inconsistencies in transregional standards that are used for risk assessment hinder cross-regional comparisons. While there are existing guidelines for the development of pluvial flood hazard maps, there is still a lack of holistic modelling systems that enable harmonised predictions of the impacts of heavy rainfall events. Furthermore, sensitive city data (e.g., critical infrastructure, sewer network) exist in many municipalities, which cannot be readily disclosed for modelling purposes. In this work, we propose an approach using distributed analytics to distribute computation commands to existing hydrodynamic models at different locations. In combination with harmonising model adapters, we enable the generation of harmonised pluvial flood hazard maps of different regions to tackle the inconsistencies and privacy concerns. We apply our approach to four adjacent urban areas in the Rhein-Sieg Kreis of North Rhine-Westphalia. Our results demonstrate the ability of our approach to produce cross-regional pluvial flood hazard maps, supporting disaster preparedness and management in regions prone to extreme weather events and flash floods.
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通过分散分析生成统一的冲积洪水灾害地图
越来越多的极端天气事件给水文学带来了巨大挑战,需要有工具来防备和预测强降雨的影响,特别是山洪暴发。目前的冲积洪水风险管理风险降低措施依赖于洪水灾害图,但用于风险评估的跨区域标准不一致,阻碍了跨区域比较。虽然已有制定冲积洪水危害图的指导方针,但仍然缺乏能够统一预测暴雨事件影响的整体建模系统。此外,许多城市都存在敏感的城市数据(如重要基础设施、下水道网络),这些数据不能为建模目的而轻易公开。在这项工作中,我们提出了一种使用分布式分析的方法,将计算指令分配给不同地点的现有水动力模型。结合统一模型适配器,我们能够生成不同地区的统一冲积洪水灾害地图,以解决不一致和隐私问题。我们将这一方法应用于北莱茵-威斯特法伦州莱茵-锡格地区的四个相邻城区。我们的研究结果表明,我们的方法能够绘制出跨地区的冲积洪水灾害地图,为极端天气事件和山洪灾害多发地区的备灾和灾害管理提供支持。
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