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An integrated cyberinfrastructure system for water quality resources in the Upper Mississippi River Basin 密西西比河上游流域水质资源综合网络基础设施系统
Pub Date : 2024-08-08 DOI: 10.2166/hydro.2024.079
Jerry Mount, Y. Sermet, Christopher S. Jones, Keith E. Schilling, P. Gassman, Larry J. Weber, W. Krajewski, Ibrahim Demir
The Upper Mississippi Information System (UMIS) is a cyberinfrastructure framework designed to support large-scale real-time water-quality data integration, analysis, and visualization for the Upper Mississippi River Basin (UMRB). UMIS is intended to directly address three of the Grand Challenges for Engineering including (1) understanding access to clean drinking water, (2) management of the nitrogen cycle, and (3) engineering the tools of scientific discovery. The UMIS is designed to provide significant immediate and long-term impacts including a central platform for data access, integration, discovery, and adoption of cyberinfrastructure tools and services. The UMIS demonstrates that public data aggregators and central repositories can provide important services to anyone interested in water-quality research or education. In addition, working across multiple scales (e.g., state, region, county, or watershed) allows researchers to understand broad and narrow effects of water-quality strategies. Exploration of data across these scales encourages the development of problem-based research questions that can eventually provide feedback to public policies.
密西西比河上游信息系统(UMIS)是一个网络基础设施框架,旨在支持密西西比河上游流域(UMRB)的大规模实时水质数据整合、分析和可视化。UMIS 旨在直接应对工程学的三大挑战,包括:(1) 了解获得清洁饮用水的途径;(2) 氮循环管理;(3) 科学发现工具的工程化。UMIS 旨在提供重大的直接和长期影响,包括数据访问、集成、发现和采用网络基础设施工具和服务的中央平台。UMIS 表明,公共数据聚合器和中央存储库可以为任何对水质研究或教育感兴趣的人提供重要服务。此外,跨多个尺度(如州、地区、县或流域)的工作使研究人员能够了解水质战略的广泛和狭义影响。对跨尺度数据的探索有助于提出基于问题的研究问题,最终为公共政策提供反馈。
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引用次数: 0
Predicting total upland sediment yield using regression and machine learning models for improved land management and water conservation 利用回归和机器学习模型预测高地泥沙总产量,改善土地管理和水资源保护
Pub Date : 2024-08-08 DOI: 10.2166/hydro.2024.159
Shravan Kumar S. M., Manish Pandey, N. V. Umamahesh
In this study, various regression models were utilized to predict total sediment yield in tons, while their performance was evaluated for accuracy and reliability. The dataset utilized contains numerous predictors that have been standardized and processed through principal component analysis to improve model performance. Models evaluated here include linear regression, normalized linear regression, PCA, PCC with generalized ridge regression, kernel ridge regression, multivariate regression, lasso regression approaches such as CA-ANN or ANN, and more. Results suggest that the artificial neural network (ANN) model achieved the lowest mean squared error (MSE), 113.641; this suggests superior predictive capability compared to other models. Although environmental data were complex and relationships complex, an ANN model showed less error, followed closely by CA-ANN with an MSE of 124.83. Traditional models such as linear or lasso regression revealed larger errors with negative squared values that indicated poor fits to data. This exhaustive analysis not only showcases the power of advanced machine-learning techniques in environmental modeling but also stresses the significance of selecting models based on data characteristics and specific environmental phenomena studied. Furthermore, its insights could assist environmental planners and advocates with better prediction and management of soil erosion and sediment transport for planning purposes and conservation efforts.
本研究利用各种回归模型来预测以吨为单位的沉积物总产量,并对其准确性和可靠性进行了评估。所使用的数据集包含大量预测因子,这些预测因子已通过主成分分析进行标准化和处理,以提高模型性能。评估的模型包括线性回归、归一化线性回归、PCA、PCC 与广义脊回归、核脊回归、多元回归、套索回归方法(如 CA-ANN 或 ANN)等。结果表明,人工神经网络(ANN)模型的均方误差(MSE)最小,为 113.641;这表明该模型的预测能力优于其他模型。虽然环境数据复杂、关系复杂,但人工神经网络模型的误差较小,CA-ANN 紧随其后,MSE 为 124.83。线性回归或套索回归等传统模型的误差较大,负平方值表明与数据的拟合效果不佳。这项详尽的分析不仅展示了先进的机器学习技术在环境建模中的威力,还强调了根据数据特征和所研究的具体环境现象选择模型的重要性。此外,其见解还能帮助环境规划者和倡导者更好地预测和管理土壤侵蚀和沉积物迁移,以达到规划和保护的目的。
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引用次数: 0
A novel application of waveform matching algorithm for improving monthly runoff forecasting using wavelet–ML models 波形匹配算法在利用小波-ML 模型改进月径流预报中的新应用
Pub Date : 2024-07-11 DOI: 10.2166/hydro.2024.128
Hiwa Farajpanah, Arash Adib, Morteza Lotfirad, Hassan Esmaeili-Gisavandani, Mohammad Mehdi Riyahi, Arash Zaerpour
The main goal of this study is to enhance the precision and reliability of monthly runoff forecasts within the complex Navrood watershed, situated in northern Iran. The innovative use of a waveform matching algorithm is a defining feature of this study. This approach is vital in optimizing the selection of the mother wavelet, which is a critical component in wavelet analysis. This is a significant divergence from established techniques in hydrological research, indicating a paradigm change in the area. To thoroughly assess model performance, the Technique for Order of Preference by Similarity to the Ideal Solution (TOPSIS) is applied. This all-encompassing evaluation guarantees not only astounding precision but also a near-perfect fit with the ideal solution. The findings highlight the remarkable precision attained by using the hybrid multiresolution analysis (MRA) methodology. The proposed methodology involves the integration of the maximal overlap discrete wavelet transform (MODWT) with a random forest (RF) model, referred to as MRA–RF. The obtained Nash–Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE) score of 0.94 is noteworthy. Furthermore, the model exhibits a low mean absolute error (MAE) of just 0.36 m3/s, a strong p-factor of 73.5%, and a significant d-factor of 37.9% during extensive testing.
这项研究的主要目标是提高伊朗北部复杂的纳夫鲁德流域月径流预报的精度和可靠性。创新性地使用波形匹配算法是本研究的一大特色。这种方法对于优化母小波的选择至关重要,而母小波是小波分析的关键组成部分。这与水文研究中的既定技术大相径庭,表明了该领域的范式变革。为了全面评估模型性能,我们采用了与理想解相似度排序技术(TOPSIS)。这种全方位的评估不仅保证了惊人的精度,还保证了与理想解近乎完美的契合。研究结果凸显了使用混合多分辨率分析(MRA)方法所获得的卓越精度。所提出的方法涉及最大重叠离散小波变换(MODWT)与随机森林(RF)模型的整合,称为 MRA-RF。值得注意的是,所获得的纳什-苏特克利夫效率(NSE)为 0.94。此外,该模型的平均绝对误差(MAE)很低,仅为 0.36 m3/s,在大量测试中,p 系数高达 73.5%,d 系数高达 37.9%。
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引用次数: 0
Impacts of emergent rigid vegetation patches on flow characteristics of open channels 新兴刚性植被斑块对明渠水流特性的影响
Pub Date : 2024-07-10 DOI: 10.2166/hydro.2024.009
Hunan Qiu, Peng Li, Wen Wang, Peng Shi, Jiao Zhang, Hao Chen
This study examines the influence of emergent vegetation on flow dynamics in natural river systems using large eddy simulation. It specifically addresses alterations in flow velocity and turbulence characteristics within open channels with varying densities of vegetation. The findings reveal a marked reduction in flow velocity within vegetated areas due to the obstruction posed by vegetation and the dynamics of shear layers. The flow alteration manifests in two distinct phases: the formation of a stable wake region behind densely vegetated patches and a more gradual velocity recovery in areas with sparser vegetation. In non-vegetated downstream zones, flow velocity tends to stabilize over a distance. Regarding turbulence, the study identifies differing patterns: enhanced vortex structures and accelerated energy dissipation in sparsely vegetated areas, contrasted with reduced turbulence in densely vegetated patches. Quadrant analysis further elucidates that ejections and inward interactions are primary contributors to Reynolds stress within vegetation patches, whereas outward interactions and sweeps become dominant in downstream regions. These insights offer a deeper understanding of how aquatic vegetation shapes river hydrodynamics, providing valuable information for effective river management and ecological restoration strategies.
本研究利用大涡流模拟研究了新生植被对自然河流系统水流动力学的影响。研究特别探讨了植被密度不同的明渠内流速和湍流特性的变化。研究结果表明,由于植被的阻挡和剪切层的动态作用,植被覆盖区域内的流速明显下降。水流的改变表现为两个不同的阶段:在植被茂密的区域后形成稳定的尾流区;在植被稀疏的区域,水流速度会逐渐恢复。在无植被的下游区域,流速在一段距离内趋于稳定。在湍流方面,研究发现了不同的模式:植被稀疏区域的涡流结构增强,能量耗散加快,而植被茂密区域的湍流则减弱。象限分析进一步阐明,在植被斑块内,喷射和内向相互作用是造成雷诺应力的主要因素,而在下游区域,外向相互作用和横扫则占主导地位。这些见解加深了人们对水生植被如何影响河流流体力学的理解,为有效的河流管理和生态恢复策略提供了宝贵的信息。
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引用次数: 0
Sensitivity of creep parameters to pressure fluctuation of transient flow in viscoelastic pipes 蠕变参数对粘弹性管道中瞬态流压力波动的敏感性
Pub Date : 2024-07-10 DOI: 10.2166/hydro.2024.116
Qiang Sun, Xu Wang, Yuebin Wu, Ying Xu, Zhihao Wang
A stepwise method is one of the efficient approaches in the calibration of transient flow in viscoelastic pipes. However, there is the lack of comprehensive research on the calibration method for retarded time and creep compliance. Therefore, the sensitivity of the order of magnitude of the creep parameters in the presence of interactions to transient flow pressure damping and phase in the case of the two-element Kelvin–Voigt model is investigated. Also, the calibration methods of retarded time and creep compliance in the stepwise method of transient flow parameter calibration for viscoelastic pipes are proposed. The results indicate that the creep compliances do not affect the phase of the pressure fluctuations when the selected retarded times are greater than the order of magnitude 10−1. For the first Kelvin–Voigt element, when the order of magnitude of the retarded time exceeds 10−2, an increase in creep compliance results in an increase in the degree of damping of pressure fluctuations. When the order of magnitude of the retarded time is less than 10−2, the rule is reversed. For the second Kelvin–Voigt element, an increase in creep compliance results in an increase in the degree of damping of transient flow pressure fluctuations independent of the retarded time.
逐步法是校准粘弹性管道中瞬态流动的有效方法之一。然而,目前还缺乏对延迟时间和蠕变顺应性校准方法的全面研究。因此,在双元素 Kelvin-Voigt 模型的情况下,研究了存在相互作用时蠕变参数的数量级对瞬态流压力阻尼和相位的敏感性。此外,还提出了粘弹性管道瞬态流参数校准分步法中延迟时间和蠕变顺应性的校准方法。结果表明,当所选延迟时间大于 10-1 数量级时,蠕变顺应性不会影响压力波动的相位。对于第一个 Kelvin-Voigt 元件,当延迟时间的数量级超过 10-2 时,蠕变顺应性的增加会导致压力波动阻尼程度的增加。当延迟时间的数量级小于 10-2 时,规则则相反。对于第二个开尔文-伏依格特元件,蠕变顺应性的增加会导致瞬态流动压力波动阻尼程度的增加,而与延缓时间无关。
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引用次数: 0
Internal structure modification of a simple monthly water balance model via incorporation of a machine learning-based nonlinear routing 通过纳入基于机器学习的非线性路由,修改简单月度水平衡模型的内部结构
Pub Date : 2024-07-08 DOI: 10.2166/hydro.2024.010
U. Okkan, Zeynep Beril Ersoy, O. Fistikoglu
Among various monthly water balance models, one of the models that has the simplest structure and offers a well-behaved conceptual platform is the GR2M. Despite the widespread use of the model with two-free parameters, the fact that it tends to produce relatively large errors in peak flow months necessitates some modifications to the model. The reason for the mentioned simulation deficiencies could be that the relationship between the routing reservoir and the external environment of the basin is controlled by a single parameter, making the storage–discharge relationship linear. Therefore, in this study, least squares support vector regression, one of the nonlinear data-driven models, has replaced the routing part of the GR2M to enhance the monthly runoff simulation. The performance of the three-parameter hybrid model (GR3M), which was developed by considering the parameter parsimony point of view and including a machine learning (ML)-based nonlinear routing scheme, was examined in some locations in the Gediz River Basin in western Turkey. Statistical performance measures have shown that GR3M, which both leverages the capabilities of an ML model and blends conceptual outputs within a nested scheme, clearly outperforms the original GR2M. The proposed modification has brought significant improvements, especially to high-flow simulations.
在各种月度水平衡模型中,GR2M 是结构最简单的模型之一,它提供了一个良好的概念 平台。尽管该模型的两个自由参数得到了广泛应用,但它在流量高峰月往往会产生相对较大的误差,因此有必要对模型进行一些修改。造成上述模拟缺陷的原因可能是,路由水库与流域外部环境之间的关系由单一参数控制,使得蓄水-排水关系呈线性。因此,在本研究中,非线性数据驱动模型之一的最小二乘支持向量回归取代了 GR2M 的路由部分,以提高月径流模拟效果。从参数简约性角度出发,开发了三参数混合模型(GR3M),其中包括基于机器学习(ML)的非线性路由方案,并在土耳其西部盖迪兹河流域的一些地点对该模型的性能进行了检验。统计性能指标表明,GR3M 既利用了 ML 模型的功能,又在嵌套方案中融合了概念输出,其性能明显优于最初的 GR2M。拟议的修改带来了显著的改进,尤其是在大流量模拟方面。
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引用次数: 0
A 2D numerical model for simulating landslide dam failure and induced morphological changes considering multi-layer and non-uniform sediments 考虑到多层和非均匀沉积物的滑坡溃坝和诱发形态变化的二维数值模拟模型
Pub Date : 2024-07-08 DOI: 10.2166/hydro.2024.103
Jiangtao Yang, S. Soares-Frazão, Zhenming Shi, Danyi Shen
Landslide dams are formed by the blockage of rivers with landslides, or any debris flows. Such dams are prone to failure and therefore, simulation of their failure and induced morphological changes is of great importance for hazard mitigation. Multi-layer and non-uniform sediments are usually observed in landslide dam materials, but these are rarely considered in simulations. In this paper, a two-dimensional numerical model considering multi-layered and non-uniform sediments is proposed. The model solves the shallow water equations, the Exner equation considering the different size fractions and Hirano's active layer equation based on a finite volume scheme in a weakly coupled approach. Two experimental tests are used to assess the applicability and accuracy of the model. The results show that it can well simulate the flow and morphological changes, as well as the surface coarsening and fining phenomena related to multi-layer and non-uniform sediments. The numerical results of dam failure process and morphological changes are in overall good agreement with the experiments, but the peak discharge and bed elevation tend to be underestimated when finer material is considered. Finally, the influence of sediments fractions and active layer depth on numerical results, as well as the limitations of the model are discussed.
滑坡坝是由山体滑坡或任何泥石流堵塞河流而形成的。这种坝很容易垮塌,因此,模拟其垮塌和诱发的形态变化对减轻危害非常重要。在滑坡坝体材料中通常会观察到多层和不均匀沉积物,但在模拟中却很少考虑这些因素。本文提出了一种考虑多层和非均匀沉积物的二维数值模型。该模型以弱耦合方法求解了浅水方程、考虑了不同粒径分数的 Exner 方程以及基于有限体积方案的平野活动层方程。两个实验测试用于评估模型的适用性和准确性。结果表明,该模型可以很好地模拟与多层和非均匀沉积物有关的流动和形态变化,以及表面粗化和细化现象。溃坝过程和形态变化的数值结果与试验结果总体吻合,但当考虑更细的材料时,峰值排水量和河床高程有被低估的趋势。最后,讨论了沉积物比例和活动层深度对数值结果的影响以及模型的局限性。
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引用次数: 0
A new approach for explicit approximation of the Colebrook–White formula for pipe flows 显式逼近管道流动的科尔布鲁克-怀特公式的新方法
Pub Date : 2024-07-03 DOI: 10.2166/hydro.2024.280
G. Ferreri
A novel approach is presented for explicit assessment of the friction factor of the Darcy–Weisbach formula for a pipe turbulent flow, a topic being especially useful in practical applications requiring a large number of pipes that have to be calculated a great many times in a short time. In such applications, in fact, an explicit formula shortening computation time, with respect to a trial-and-error solution of the Colebrook–White formula, is very advisable. To this aim, in the paper analytical simplicity is pursued besides accuracy, the latter being kept high enough for practical purposes. Unlike previous studies, the ratio between the actual friction factor and that relating to a fully turbulent flow is analysed as a function of the relative roughness and the relative Reynolds number (i.e., the ratio between the actual Reynolds number and the Reynolds number separating the transition regime from the fully turbulent regime). By processing a dataset obtained by systematically solving the C-W formula over suited ranges of the Reynolds number and the relative roughness, two expressions are obtained: a simpler first-step accuracy expression giving generally acceptable accuracy for most engineering practical purposes; and a second-step accuracy expression allowing adequately high accuracy for all situations.
本文提出了一种新方法,用于明确评估管道湍流的达西-韦斯巴赫公式摩擦因数,这一主题在需要在短时间内多次计算大量管道的实际应用中尤为有用。事实上,在此类应用中,相对于科尔布鲁克-怀特公式的试错解法,一个可缩短计算时间的显式公式是非常可取的。为此,本文除了追求精确度之外,还追求分析的简洁性,并将精确度保持在足够高的水平,以满足实际需要。与以往研究不同的是,本文将实际摩擦因数与完全湍流摩擦因数之间的比率作为相对粗糙度和相对雷诺数(即实际雷诺数与区分过渡状态和完全湍流状态的雷诺数之间的比率)的函数进行分析。通过处理在合适的雷诺数和相对粗糙度范围内系统求解 C-W 公式所获得的数据集,可以得到两个表达式:一个是较简单的第一步精度表达式,其精度在大多数工程实际用途中基本可以接受;另一个是第二步精度表达式,其精度在所有情况下都足够高。
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引用次数: 0
Regional and seasonal assessment of biases on high-resolution satellite precipitation estimations in peninsular Malaysia: 2011–2020 马来西亚半岛高分辨率卫星降水估算偏差的区域和季节评估:2011-2020 年
Pub Date : 2024-07-02 DOI: 10.2166/hydro.2024.084
Voon Hao Chai, Ren Jie Chin, Lloyd Ling, Yuk Feng Huang, Eugene Zhen Xiang Soo
Satellite precipitation estimations (SPEs) have become important to estimate rainfall in remote and inaccessible areas. The study evaluates two high-resolution SPEs (IMERG and CHIRPS) in Peninsular Malaysia from 2011 to 2020. In situ rain gauge observation data were used as reference data, and a series of statistic indices were used to evaluate the performance of SPEs. In order to identify the source of error in the SPEs, an error decomposition technique was proposed whereby the bias is segregated into four different independent components. The study found that IMERG outperformed CHIRPS, with both satellites performing well in the east coast region but poor in the central region. A superior correlation between the SPEs and rain gauge observations was found during the northeast monsoon. The false bias has shown the widest range compared to other error components, indicating that it is the main contributor to the total bias of both SPEs in Peninsular Malaysia.
卫星降水估测(SPE)对于估测偏远和交通不便地区的降雨量非常重要。本研究评估了 2011 年至 2020 年马来西亚半岛的两种高分辨率 SPE(IMERG 和 CHIRPS)。原地雨量计观测数据被用作参考数据,一系列统计指数被用来评估 SPE 的性能。为了确定 SPE 的误差来源,提出了一种误差分解技术,将偏差分解为四个不同的独立组成部分。研究发现,IMERG 的表现优于 CHIRPS,两颗卫星在东海岸地区表现良好,但在中部地区表现不佳。在东北季风期间,发现 SPE 与雨量计观测之间的相关性更强。与其他误差成分相比,误偏差的范围最广,表明它是马来西亚半岛两个 SPEs 总偏差的主要成因。
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引用次数: 0
Short-duration prediction of urban storm-water levels using the residual-error ensemble correction technique 利用残余误差集合校正技术对城市暴雨水位进行短时预测
Pub Date : 2024-06-03 DOI: 10.2166/hydro.2024.255
Wen-Dar Guo, Wei-Bo Chen
Predicting water levels in urban storm-water sewer systems is a critical study that could provide vital information to help reduce the risk of flooding. This study proposed a new ensemble model based on the integration of a meta-learner model, residual-error corrections, and a multiple-output framework. To achieve the meta-learner model, three multiple-output data-driven-based (MOD) sewer flooding models employing support vector regression (SVR), k-nearest neighbor regression (KNR), and categorical gradient boosting regression (CGBR) techniques were constructed and applied to predict the short-duration evolution of water levels at seven storm-water gauging sites in Taipei city, Taiwan, considering 10-min datasets spanning nearly 6 years (2016–2021). The Bayesian optimization algorithm was utilized in the training phases for all the models to avoid overfitting or underfitting. Enhancing the analysis of feature importance was also conducted to explore model interpretability based on the SHapley Additive exPlanation (SHAP) algorithm. The outputs of storm-water management model (SWMM) were used as benchmark solutions. For the model validation phase, the proposed integrated model improved the lead-time-averaged Nash–Sutcliffe efficiency of single KNR, SVR, and CGBR models by 174.5, 42.4, and 69.4%, respectively, showing that the proposed accurate model could be useful for urban flood warning systems.
预测城市雨水下水道系统的水位是一项至关重要的研究,可为降低洪水风险提供重要信息。本研究提出了一种新的集合模型,该模型基于元学习器模型、残余误差校正和多输出框架的整合。为实现元学习器模型,研究人员采用支持向量回归(SVR)、k-近邻回归(KNR)和分类梯度提升回归(CGBR)技术,构建了三个基于数据驱动的多输出(MOD)下水道洪水模型,并将其应用于预测台湾台北市七个雨水测量点的短时水位演变情况,其中考虑了跨度近六年(2016-2021 年)的 10 分钟数据集。所有模型的训练阶段均采用贝叶斯优化算法,以避免过拟合或欠拟合。此外,还基于 SHapley Additive exPlanation(SHAP)算法加强了对特征重要性的分析,以探索模型的可解释性。雨水管理模型(SWMM)的输出结果被用作基准解决方案。在模型验证阶段,所提出的集成模型将单一 KNR、SVR 和 CGBR 模型的前导时间平均纳什-苏特克利夫效率分别提高了 174.5%、42.4% 和 69.4%,表明所提出的精确模型可用于城市洪水预警系统。
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引用次数: 0
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Journal of Hydroinformatics
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