Covid-19 and digital inclusion: Impact on employment

Nushrat Jahan , Yixiao Zhou
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Abstract

The employment sector has suffered an abrupt decline in labour force participation since COVID-19 started. Digital platforms offer virtual workspace, enable remote working, and thus remain the only alternative to maintain stability in the labour market during the lockdown period. Since levels of digital inclusion vary among countries, the pandemic-led employment shocks also differ across countries. This study examines a cross-sectional dataset of 93 countries and analyses the impact of digital inclusion on employment shock during the COVID-19 pandemic using regression analysis. The estimation result suggests that digital inclusion has a significant favourable effect on employment growth in the pandemic. For one unit of increase in the digital inclusion index at the mean value of confirmed COVID-19 cases in natural logarithm, employment growth rises by 0.078 %. This favourable impact remains significant for both high- and low-income countries and is more pronounced in high-income countries. This study provides much-needed cross-country evidence on the importance of digital inclusion for stabilizing employment during the pandemic and helps inform future theoretical work on this issue.

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Covid-19 和数字包容:对就业的影响
自 COVID-19 启动以来,就业部门的劳动力参与率急剧下降。数字平台提供虚拟工作空间,实现远程工作,因此仍然是在封锁期间保持劳动力市场稳定的唯一选择。由于各国的数字包容性水平不同,大流行导致的就业冲击也因国家而异。本研究考察了 93 个国家的横截面数据集,并利用回归分析方法分析了 COVID-19 大流行期间数字包容性对就业冲击的影响。估计结果表明,数字包容性对大流行病期间的就业增长具有显著的有利影响。以 COVID-19 确诊病例的自然对数平均值计算,数字包容性指数每增加一个单位,就业增长率就会上升 0.078%。这种有利影响对高收入国家和低收入国家都很显著,在高收入国家更为明显。这项研究提供了亟需的跨国证据,说明数字包容性对于在大流行病期间稳定就业的重要性,并有助于为今后有关这一问题的理论研究提供参考。
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