The City of London after Brexit: Sticky power in the Global Financial Network

Panagiotis (Takis) Iliopoulos , Stefanos Ioannou , Dariusz Wójcik
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Abstract

We examine the impact of Brexit on London as an international financial centre through the lens of the global financial network (GFN) framework, using quantitative data on selected key financial flows and stocks, as well as qualitative data from interviews and other sources. Our results show very limited impacts on London, and possible gains in New York and the USA rather than in the European Union. The results are compatible with the logic and history of sticky power in the global financial network. Despite some relocations from London, Brexit has not (yet) undermined London’s attractiveness to financial and business services, and the global connectivity they afford to London as an international financial centre. London remains the global conductor of offshore jurisdictions, a role which may be enhanced with more flexible regulation after Brexit. Any forecasts about the future impacts of Brexit on London need to consider the sticky power of the global financial network, and close relationships among its building blocks.

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英国脱欧后的伦敦金融城:全球金融网络中的粘性力量
我们通过全球金融网络(GFN)框架的视角,利用选定的关键资金流和股票的定量数据,以及访谈和其他来源的定性数据,研究了英国脱欧对伦敦作为国际金融中心的影响。我们的结果表明,对伦敦的影响非常有限,而对纽约和美国而非欧盟的影响可能更大。这些结果与全球金融网络中权力粘性的逻辑和历史是一致的。尽管有一些企业从伦敦迁出,但英国脱欧并没有(尚未)削弱伦敦对金融和商业服务业的吸引力,也没有削弱伦敦作为国际金融中心的全球连通性。伦敦仍然是全球离岸司法管辖区的指挥者,英国脱欧后,这一角色可能会随着更灵活的监管而得到加强。任何关于英国脱欧对伦敦未来影响的预测,都需要考虑全球金融网络的粘性及其各组成部分之间的密切关系。
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