{"title":"Global contagion of US COVID-19 panic news","authors":"Yong Joo Kang , Dojoon Park , Young Ho Eom","doi":"10.1016/j.ememar.2024.101116","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>We investigate the contagion of US COVID-19 panic news, measured by the sentiment-based RavenPack US Panic Index, on the local stock market returns of 48 countries. Local stock market returns are found to be more significantly negatively associated with the US panic news than local panic news. Our results show that a 1% increase in the US Panic Index reduces local stock returns by 1.44%. The result holds for regional and subregional groupings and are robust to alternative measures of COVID-19 information. Furthermore, our contagion channel analysis shows that the differences of opinion channel is the key contagion transmission channel from the US to local markets. This alludes to the investor behavior contagion view, and not the fundamental contagion view, being the main driver of global contagion during the pandemic.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":47886,"journal":{"name":"Emerging Markets Review","volume":"59 ","pages":"Article 101116"},"PeriodicalIF":5.6000,"publicationDate":"2024-02-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Emerging Markets Review","FirstCategoryId":"96","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1566014124000116","RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"BUSINESS, FINANCE","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
We investigate the contagion of US COVID-19 panic news, measured by the sentiment-based RavenPack US Panic Index, on the local stock market returns of 48 countries. Local stock market returns are found to be more significantly negatively associated with the US panic news than local panic news. Our results show that a 1% increase in the US Panic Index reduces local stock returns by 1.44%. The result holds for regional and subregional groupings and are robust to alternative measures of COVID-19 information. Furthermore, our contagion channel analysis shows that the differences of opinion channel is the key contagion transmission channel from the US to local markets. This alludes to the investor behavior contagion view, and not the fundamental contagion view, being the main driver of global contagion during the pandemic.
期刊介绍：
The intent of the editors is to consolidate Emerging Markets Review as the premier vehicle for publishing high impact empirical and theoretical studies in emerging markets finance. Preference will be given to comparative studies that take global and regional perspectives, detailed single country studies that address critical policy issues and have significant global and regional implications, and papers that address the interactions of national and international financial architecture. We especially welcome papers that take institutional as well as financial perspectives.
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