AI Patent Approvals in Service Firms, Patent Radicalness, and Stock Market Reaction

Pankaj C. Patel, G. Sahi
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Abstract

Artificial intelligence (AI)-driven automation is of growing interest in the service sector. Using practice theory in service innovation and recombinant uncertainty frameworks, we ask whether AI patent approval for service firms is received positively by the stock market and whether patent radicalness strengthens or exacerbates the stock market reaction. We draw on 650 service industry firms from the years 1976 to 2019 with 133,813 non-AI patents and AI patents, including 7,543 (AI machine learning), 33,804 (AI hardware), and 53,419 (AI planning/control). The results show that the stock market reaction is positive for machine learning AI patents, and increasing radicalness strengthens the positive relationship; however, the reaction is negative to AI-related planning and control patents and increasing radicalness exacerbates the negative reaction. In addition, stock market reaction is insignificant to AI-related hardware patents and increasing radicalness does not influence this relationship. The findings are robust to excluding large firms representing a significant portion of the AI patents. With increasing radicalness, the stock market reaction to machine learning patents is more positive for low temporal depth and exacerbates with higher patent pedigree. The findings have implications for AI patenting among firms in the service sector.
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服务公司的人工智能专利审批、专利激进性与股市反应
人工智能(AI)驱动的自动化越来越受到服务业的关注。利用服务创新实践理论和重组不确定性框架,我们询问服务企业的人工智能专利批准是否会受到股市的积极回应,以及专利的激进性会加强还是加剧股市的反应。我们以1976年至2019年的650家服务业企业为研究对象,这些企业拥有133813项非人工智能专利和人工智能专利,其中包括7543项(人工智能机器学习)、33804项(人工智能硬件)和53419项(人工智能规划/控制)。结果表明,对于机器学习人工智能专利,股市的反应是正向的,而且激进程度的增加会加强正向关系;但是,对于人工智能相关的规划和控制专利,股市的反应是负向的,而且激进程度的增加会加剧负向反应。此外,股市对人工智能相关硬件专利的反应并不显著,激进程度的增加也不会影响这种关系。排除占人工智能专利很大一部分的大公司后,研究结果是稳健的。随着激进程度的增加,对于低时间深度的机器学习专利,股市反应更为积极,而对于高专利血统的机器学习专利,股市反应则会加剧。这些发现对服务业企业的人工智能专利申请具有启示意义。
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