Design flood hydrographs based on scaled flood data using vine copulas

Abstract

Design flood hydrographs are often used to project safe and cost-effective hydraulic structures. This study proposes a system based on a combination of empirical and statistical approaches for constructing synthetic design flood hydrographs, that practitioners can easily apply. The system uses scaled observed seasonal flood hydrographs and respects the dependence structure among the flood peaks, volumes, and durations deduced from the set of seasonal flood hydrographs observed. The method was developed and tested based on data from the Horné Orešany reservoir in Slovakia.