{"title":"The Missing Person problem through the lens of information theory","authors":"Franco Marsico , Gustavo Sibilla , Ma Soledad Escobar , Ariel Chernomoretz","doi":"10.1016/j.fsigen.2024.103025","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Missing person cases typically require a genetic kinship test to determine the relationship between an unidentified individual and the relatives of the missing person. When not enough genetic evidence has been collected the lack of statistical power of these tests might lead to unreliable results. This is particularly true when just a few distant relatives are available for genotyping. In this contribution, we considered a Bayesian network approach for kinship testing and proposed several information theoretic metrics in order to quantitatively evaluate the information content of pedigrees. We show how these statistics are related to the widely used likelihood ratio values and could be employed to efficiently prioritize family members in order to optimize the statistical power in missing person problems. Our methodology seamlessly integrates with Bayesian modeling approaches, like the GENis platform that we have recently developed for high-throughput missing person identification tasks. Furthermore, our approach can also be easily incorporated into Elston-Stewart forensic frameworks. To facilitate the application of our methodology, we have developed the <span>forensIT</span> package, freely available on CRAN repository, which implements all the methodologies described in our manuscript.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":50435,"journal":{"name":"Forensic Science International-Genetics","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.2000,"publicationDate":"2024-02-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Forensic Science International-Genetics","FirstCategoryId":"3","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S187249732400019X","RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"GENETICS & HEREDITY","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
Missing person cases typically require a genetic kinship test to determine the relationship between an unidentified individual and the relatives of the missing person. When not enough genetic evidence has been collected the lack of statistical power of these tests might lead to unreliable results. This is particularly true when just a few distant relatives are available for genotyping. In this contribution, we considered a Bayesian network approach for kinship testing and proposed several information theoretic metrics in order to quantitatively evaluate the information content of pedigrees. We show how these statistics are related to the widely used likelihood ratio values and could be employed to efficiently prioritize family members in order to optimize the statistical power in missing person problems. Our methodology seamlessly integrates with Bayesian modeling approaches, like the GENis platform that we have recently developed for high-throughput missing person identification tasks. Furthermore, our approach can also be easily incorporated into Elston-Stewart forensic frameworks. To facilitate the application of our methodology, we have developed the forensIT package, freely available on CRAN repository, which implements all the methodologies described in our manuscript.
期刊介绍:
Forensic Science International: Genetics is the premier journal in the field of Forensic Genetics. This branch of Forensic Science can be defined as the application of genetics to human and non-human material (in the sense of a science with the purpose of studying inherited characteristics for the analysis of inter- and intra-specific variations in populations) for the resolution of legal conflicts.
The scope of the journal includes:
Forensic applications of human polymorphism.
Testing of paternity and other family relationships, immigration cases, typing of biological stains and tissues from criminal casework, identification of human remains by DNA testing methodologies.
Description of human polymorphisms of forensic interest, with special interest in DNA polymorphisms.
Autosomal DNA polymorphisms, mini- and microsatellites (or short tandem repeats, STRs), single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs), X and Y chromosome polymorphisms, mtDNA polymorphisms, and any other type of DNA variation with potential forensic applications.
Non-human DNA polymorphisms for crime scene investigation.
Population genetics of human polymorphisms of forensic interest.
Population data, especially from DNA polymorphisms of interest for the solution of forensic problems.
DNA typing methodologies and strategies.
Biostatistical methods in forensic genetics.
Evaluation of DNA evidence in forensic problems (such as paternity or immigration cases, criminal casework, identification), classical and new statistical approaches.
Standards in forensic genetics.
Recommendations of regulatory bodies concerning methods, markers, interpretation or strategies or proposals for procedural or technical standards.
Quality control.
Quality control and quality assurance strategies, proficiency testing for DNA typing methodologies.
Criminal DNA databases.
Technical, legal and statistical issues.
General ethical and legal issues related to forensic genetics.