Transport fare and road traffic crashes in Nigeria: insights from a geographical analysis.

IF 2.3 4区 医学 Q2 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH International Journal of Injury Control and Safety Promotion Pub Date : 2024-06-01 Epub Date: 2024-02-23 DOI:10.1080/17457300.2024.2319620
Richard Adeleke, Ayodeji Emmanuel Iyanda
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Abstract

Road traffic crashes (RTCs) are significantly high in Nigeria with serious social and health consequences. While existing studies on RTCs have mainly focused on the effect of socio-economic, environmental, human and mechanical factors to address the high rates, the relationship between road transport fares and RTCs has been glossed over in literature. Thus, this study examines the influence of road transport fares and other covariates on RTCs. Data on RTCs and the predictors between 2017 and 2022 were obtained from the records of the National Bureau of Statistics and the Federal Road Safety Corps. Spatial statistical techniques were used for the data analysis. RTCs vary across the country, and Northern Nigeria is the hot spot. Results from the spatial analysis show that road transport fares, population density, and illiteracy rate are significant predictors of RTCs. The study recommends striking a balance between fare affordability, the quality of service provided, and the implementation of effective transportation strategies.

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尼日利亚的交通费和道路交通事故:地理分析的启示。
在尼日利亚,道路交通事故(RTC)的发生率非常高,造成了严重的社会和健康后果。现有关于道路交通事故的研究主要集中在社会经济、环境、人为和机械因素的影响上,以解决事故率高的问题,但道路运输票价与道路交通事故之间的关系在文献中却被忽略。因此,本研究探讨了道路运输票价和其他协变量对道路交通事故的影响。2017 年至 2022 年期间的道路交通事故和预测因素数据来自国家统计局和联邦道路安全队的记录。数据分析采用了空间统计技术。全国各地的道路交通事故各不相同,尼日利亚北部是热点地区。空间分析的结果表明,道路运输票价、人口密度和文盲率是预测道路交通事故的重要因素。研究建议在票价的可承受性、所提供服务的质量和有效运输战略的实施之间取得平衡。
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来源期刊
International Journal of Injury Control and Safety Promotion
International Journal of Injury Control and Safety Promotion PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH-
CiteScore
4.40
自引率
13.00%
发文量
48
期刊介绍: International Journal of Injury Control and Safety Promotion (formerly Injury Control and Safety Promotion) publishes articles concerning all phases of injury control, including prevention, acute care and rehabilitation. Specifically, this journal will publish articles that for each type of injury: •describe the problem •analyse the causes and risk factors •discuss the design and evaluation of solutions •describe the implementation of effective programs and policies The journal encompasses all causes of fatal and non-fatal injury, including injuries related to: •transport •school and work •home and leisure activities •sport •violence and assault
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