Trade Openness And Service Sector For Income Tax Revenue: Exploring Government Expenditure’s Role Within

Destiny Wulandari, Suparna Wijaya
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Abstract

This study aims to examine the effect of trade openness and service sector on income tax revenue in East Asia and Pacific countries from 2008 to 2019. It was examined by setting government’s expenditure as a moderating variable and manufacturing sector and regulatory quality as control variables. It was performed by using a panel-corrected standard error (PCSE) model. The results of the study show that prior to moderation, trade openness has no significant effect, while the service sector has a significant negative effect on income tax revenue. After being moderated by government’s expenditure which has a significant positive effect on income tax revenue, the government’s expenditure moderates the effect of trade openness and the service sector on income tax revenue. However, the moderation only increases the trade openness’ effect on income tax revenue. The service sector’s effect on income tax revenue is reduced by the moderation. It implies that the optimization of income tax revenue can be carried out through government’s expenditure so that the trade openness and the service sector can be boosted. However, to prevent the negative effect of the service sector on income tax revenue, additional efforts are needed to make the informal sector from the service sector as the source of negative effect become the formal sector.
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贸易开放与所得税收入的服务部门:探讨政府支出在所得税收入中的作用
本研究旨在探讨 2008 年至 2019 年贸易开放度和服务业对东亚及太平洋国家所得税收入的影响。研究将政府支出作为调节变量,将制造业和监管质量作为控制变量。研究采用面板校正标准误差(PCSE)模型进行。研究结果表明,在调节之前,贸易开放度对所得税收入没有显著影响,而服务业对所得税收入有显著的负面影响。政府支出对所得税收入有显著的正向影响,在被政府支出调节后,政府支出调节了贸易开放度和服务业对所得税收入的影响。然而,这种缓和作用只增加了贸易开放对所得税收入的影响。而服务业对所得税收入的影响则因适度而减弱。这意味着可以通过政府支出来优化所得税收入,从而促进贸易开放和服务业的发展。然而,为了防止服务业对所得税收入的负面影响,还需要做出更多努力,使非正规部门从服务业的负面影响源变成正规部门的负面影响源。
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