Infodemiology and infoveillance: framework for contagious exanthematous diseases, of childhood in Italy.

IF 4.9 4区 医学 Q1 PARASITOLOGY Pathogens and Global Health Pub Date : 2024-06-01 Epub Date: 2024-02-27 DOI:10.1080/20477724.2024.2323844
Sandro Provenzano, Omar Enzo Santangelo, Vincenza Gianfredi
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

Background: Contagious exanthematous diseases are becoming a major public health problem. The purpose of this study was to evaluate the potential epidemiological trend of four infectious exanthematous diseases in Italy through the searches on the internet.

Methods: We used the following Italian search term: 'Sesta malattia' (Sixth Disease, in English), 'Eritema Infettivo' (also knows 'Quinta malattia' in Italian; Fifth Disease in English), 'Quarta malattia' (Fourth Disease in English) and 'Scarlattina' (Scarlet fever in English). We overlapped Google Trends and Wikipedia data to perform a linear regression and correlation analysis. Statistical analyses were performed using the Spearman's rank correlation coefficient (rho). The study period is between July 2015 and December 2022.

Results: The diseases considered have a seasonal trend and the search peaks between GT and Wikipedia overlap. A temporal correlation was observed between GT and Wikipedia search trends. Google Trends Internet search data showed strong correlation with Wikipedia with a rho statistically significant for Fifth disease (rho = 0.78), Fourth disease (rho = 0.76) and Scarlet-fever (rho = 0.77), moderate correlation for Sixth disease (rho = 0.32).

Conclusions: Infectious disease searches using Google and Wikipedia can be useful for public health surveillance and help policy makers implement prevention and information programs for the population, in addition to the fact that increases in searches could represent an early warning in the detection of outbreaks.

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信息病理学和信息监控:意大利儿童传染性红斑病框架。
背景:传染性红斑病正成为一个主要的公共卫生问题。本研究的目的是通过在互联网上的搜索,评估四种传染性皮肤病在意大利的潜在流行趋势:我们使用了以下意大利语搜索词:"Sesta malattia"(英语为 "第六病")、"Eritema Infettivo"(意大利语为 "Quinta malattia",英语为 "第五病")、"Quarta malattia"(英语为 "第四病")和 "Scarlattina"(英语为 "猩红热")。我们将谷歌趋势和维基百科数据重叠,进行线性回归和相关分析。统计分析采用斯皮尔曼等级相关系数(rho)。研究时间为 2015 年 7 月至 2022 年 12 月:研究的疾病具有季节性趋势,GT 和 Wikipedia 的搜索高峰重叠。GT 和维基百科的搜索趋势之间存在时间相关性。谷歌趋势的互联网搜索数据显示与维基百科有很强的相关性,第五种疾病(rho = 0.78)、第四种疾病(rho = 0.76)和猩红热(rho = 0.77)与维基百科有显著的相关性,第六种疾病(rho = 0.32)与维基百科有中等程度的相关性:使用谷歌和维基百科进行传染病搜索有助于公共卫生监测,帮助政策制定者为民众实施预防和信息计划,此外,搜索量的增加还可能代表着疫情检测的早期预警。
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来源期刊
Pathogens and Global Health
Pathogens and Global Health PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH-PARASITOLOGY
CiteScore
6.00
自引率
0.00%
发文量
60
审稿时长
6-12 weeks
期刊介绍: Pathogens and Global Health is a journal of infectious disease and public health that focuses on the translation of molecular, immunological, genomics and epidemiological knowledge into control measures for global health threat. The journal publishes original innovative research papers, reviews articles and interviews policy makers and opinion leaders on health subjects of international relevance. It provides a forum for scientific, ethical and political discussion of new innovative solutions for controlling and eradicating infectious diseases, with particular emphasis on those diseases affecting the poorest regions of the world.
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