More Power Generation, More Wheat Losses? Evidence from Wheat Productivity in North China

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Abstract

The adverse effects of thermal power plants on crop yield have not received adequate attention. Thus, this study aims to evaluate these effects systematically to fill the gap by utilizing county-level wheat yield data from North China spanning from 2005 to 2016. Our findings indicate that the presence of an additional upwind thermal power plant is associated with a 1.4% decline in wheat yield. Notably, these yield losses are more pronounced in regions characterized by lenient environmental regulations or a high density of large-scale thermal power plants. Reduced wheat yield due to thermal power plants results in a decline in social welfare. Furthermore, we confirm that air pollution emitted from thermal power plants is the primary driver behind the decline in wheat yield.

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发电越多,小麦损失越多?华北地区小麦生产率的证据
摘要 火电厂对农作物产量的不利影响尚未得到足够重视。因此,本研究旨在利用华北地区 2005 年至 2016 年的县级小麦产量数据,系统地评估这些影响,以填补这一空白。我们的研究结果表明,增加一座上风向火电厂会导致小麦减产 1.4%。值得注意的是,在环保法规宽松或大型火力发电厂密集的地区,这些产量损失更为明显。火力发电厂造成的小麦减产会导致社会福利下降。此外,我们还证实,火力发电厂排放的空气污染是导致小麦减产的主要原因。
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