The effect of temperature on birth rates in Europe

IF 3.2 3区 社会学 Q1 DEMOGRAPHY Population and Environment Pub Date : 2024-03-06 DOI:10.1007/s11111-024-00450-x
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Abstract

Using data from 32 European countries for nearly 244 million live births between 1969 and 2021, this paper examines the effects of temperatures on birth rates. The results show that exposure to hot days slightly reduces birth rates five to eight months later, while much stronger negative effects are observed nine to ten months after exposure to hot temperatures. Thereafter, a partial recovery is observed, with slightly increased birth rates. This study also shows that the effect of high-humidity hot days is much stronger than that of hot days with low humidity. Besides, the effect of heatwave days has been found to be more severe than that of hot days that are not preceded by other hot days. This study finds that some adaptation to heat might be expected only in the long run.

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气温对欧洲出生率的影响
摘要 本文利用 32 个欧洲国家在 1969 年至 2021 年期间近 2.44 亿活产婴儿的数据,研究了气温对出生率的影响。结果表明,暴露于高温天后五到八个月,出生率会略有下降,而暴露于高温九到十个月后,则会观察到更强的负面影响。此后,气温会部分恢复,出生率会略有上升。这项研究还表明,高湿度高温日的影响比低湿度高温日的影响要大得多。此外,研究还发现热浪天的影响比没有其他热天的热天更为严重。这项研究发现,从长远来看,人们可能会对高温产生一定的适应性。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
5.80
自引率
6.10%
发文量
18
期刊介绍: Population & Environment is the sole social science journal focused on interdisciplinary research on social demographic aspects of environmental issues. The journal publishes cutting-edge research that contributes new insights on the complex, reciprocal links between human populations and the natural environment in all regions and countries of the world. Quantitative, qualitative or mixed methods contributions are welcome. Disciplines commonly represented in the journal include demography, geography, sociology, human ecology, environmental economics, public health, anthropology and environmental studies. The journal publishes original research, research brief, and review articles.
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