A nonlinear mathematical model for exploring the optimal cost-effective therapeutic strategies and within-host viral infections spread dynamics

Afeez Abidemi , Mohammad Alnegga , Taofeek O. Alade
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Abstract

This study presents a nonlinear mathematical model to capture the constant rates of three different target cells class-specific drug therapeutic measures (namely, drug therapy for blocking new infections, drug therapy for actively infected cells, and drug therapy inhibiting viral production) for the dynamics of within-host viral infections with multiple classes of target cells. The threshold quantity of the control reproduction number of the model is calculated. The global asymptotic behaviours of the model around the steady states are investigated in terms of the control reproduction number. Moreover, the model is extended to an optimal control problem by considering the three constant parameters for drug therapeutic measures as time-dependent control variables. Qualitative analysis of the proposed model is conducted using optimal control theory. Numerical solutions of the derived optimality system are sought to illustrate the efficacies of different combination strategies consisting of using at least any of the three target cells’ class-specific optimal controls in reducing the burden of within-host virus transmission and spread at a minimum cost. Cost-effectiveness analysis is further carried out to determine the least costly and most effective intervention strategy. The cost analysis reveals that the use of only target cells class-specific drug therapy control for blocking new infections is the most cost-effective control strategy.

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探索最佳成本效益治疗策略和宿主内部病毒感染传播动态的非线性数学模型
本研究提出了一种非线性数学模型,以捕捉三种不同靶细胞类别特异性药物治疗措施(即阻断新感染的药物治疗、治疗活跃感染细胞的药物治疗和抑制病毒产生的药物治疗)的恒定速率,用于多类靶细胞宿主内病毒感染的动态变化。计算了模型的控制繁殖数量阈值。根据控制繁殖数研究了模型在稳态附近的全局渐近行为。此外,将药物治疗措施的三个常量参数视为随时间变化的控制变量,从而将模型扩展为优化控制问题。利用最优控制理论对提出的模型进行了定性分析。对推导出的优化系统寻求数值解,以说明不同组合策略的效果,包括至少使用三个目标细胞类别中任何一个的特定优化控制,以最低成本减少宿主内病毒传播和扩散的负担。我们还进一步进行了成本效益分析,以确定成本最低、最有效的干预策略。成本分析表明,仅使用靶细胞类特异性药物治疗控制来阻止新感染是最具成本效益的控制策略。
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来源期刊
Healthcare analytics (New York, N.Y.)
Healthcare analytics (New York, N.Y.) Applied Mathematics, Modelling and Simulation, Nursing and Health Professions (General)
CiteScore
4.40
自引率
0.00%
发文量
0
审稿时长
79 days
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