Measuring Monetary Policy Shocks in Emerging Economies: Evidence from India

IF 1.2 3区 经济学 Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE Journal of Money Credit and Banking Pub Date : 2024-03-22 DOI:10.1111/jmcb.13144
AEIMIT LAKDAWALA, RAJESWARI SENGUPTA
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Abstract

In this paper, we provide a template for constructing monetary policy shocks for emerging economies. Our approach synthesizes financial data with a narrative analysis of central bank communication and related media coverage. We create a publicly available time‐series database of policy dates and shocks for the Reserve Bank of India (RBI). Our shocks suggest that financial markets infer information about the future path of policy rate from RBI communication. Bond and stock markets react strongly to these monetary shocks but exhibit heterogeneity across governor regimes. Finally, we use the shocks as external instruments to identify the impact on macro‐economic variables.
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衡量新兴经济体的货币政策冲击:印度的证据
在本文中,我们提供了一个构建新兴经济体货币政策冲击的模板。我们的方法将金融数据与对中央银行沟通和相关媒体报道的叙述性分析相结合。我们为印度储备银行(RBI)创建了一个公开的政策日期和冲击的时间序列数据库。我们的冲击表明,金融市场从印度储备银行的沟通中推断出有关政策利率未来走势的信息。债券市场和股票市场对这些货币冲击反应强烈,但在不同行长制度下表现出异质性。最后,我们利用这些冲击作为外部工具来确定其对宏观经济变量的影响。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
2.90
自引率
6.70%
发文量
98
期刊最新文献
Issue Information Issue Information Measuring the Impact of Unconventional Monetary Policies on the U.S. Banking and Bond Markets at the Lower Bound Market Regulation, Cycles, and Growth Dynamics in a Monetary Union Exchange Rates and Prices in the Netherlands and Britain over the Past Four Centuries
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