APPLICATION OF AHP AND PROMETHEE METHODS FOR RANKING THE PROFITABILITY OF INVESTMENT PROJECTS

Svetlana Tasić, Jelena Vukićević, Dragan Dimitrijević, Dejan Anđelković
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Abstract

Making a decision about which project is the most profitable is not an easy task, especially when it comesto investments that require large investments. In practice, there are a large number of methods that are applied in order tomake the right decision. The aim of this paper is to show, through empirical analysis, the application of AHP and PROMETHEEmethods as extremely effective when deciding on the best alternative location for the construction of a mini-hydroelectric powerplant. In order to demonstrate the application of these methods and the process of choosing the most profitable project, usingthese methods, real data obtained by the investor, who has three alternative locations for the construction of a mini-hydroelectricpower plant, was used. First, an adequate discount factor, calculated net present value, Internal rate of RETURN project anddynamic investment payback period were selected, in order to then apply the AHP calculation, and then the PROMETHEEmethod in the Decision Lab 2000 program, based on all previously calculated indicators. The combination of these methodsshowed which of the projects is the most profitable and which should be implemented. The very application of these methodsalso showed us that several methods should be used before the final decision is made, in order to choose the most profitablealternative for the investor.
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应用 AHP 和 Promethee 方法对投资项目的盈利能力进行排序
决定哪个项目最有利可图并不是一件容易的事,尤其是在需要大量投资的情况下。在实践中,为了做出正确的决策,有大量的方法可以应用。本文旨在通过实证分析,说明在决定建造小型水电站的最佳备选地点时,应用 AHP 和 PROMETHEE 方法极为有效。为了证明这些方法的应用以及利用这些方法选择最有利可图的项目的过程,使用了投资者获得的真实数据,该投资者有三个备选地点可用于建设小型水电站。首先,选择适当的贴现率、计算出的净现值、项目内部收益率和动态投资回收期,然后根据之前计算出的所有指标,在决策实验室 2000 程序中应用 AHP 计算和 PROMETHEE 方法。这些方法的结合显示了哪些项目最有利可图,哪些项目应该实施。这些方法的应用也向我们表明,在做出最终决定之前,应该使用多种方法,以便为投资者选择最有利可图的备选方案。
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